Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that Moscow's highest temperature at Vnukovo International Airport reached exactly 9°C on April 26, backed by NOAA observational data showing peak readings amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity exceeding 80%, and intermittent rain that curtailed solar insolation and convective heating. Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Gidrometcentr) had forecasted daytime highs of 6–11°C under a Baltic cyclone influence, with southerly winds and overcast skies aligning precisely with these conditions, preventing further warming after midday. Typical late-April highs average 10–12°C historically, but today's cool, moist airmass dominated. Realistic challenges would require rare post-daylight data revisions from NOAA, unlikely given consistent METAR reports stabilizing around 8–9°C through evening. Final resolution awaits official NOAA confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on April 26?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 26?
9°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
$143,931 Vol.
$143,931 Vol.
Apr 26, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
9°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
$143,931 Vol.
$143,931 Vol.
Apr 26, 2026
7°C or below
$6,636 Vol.
No
8°C
$27,620 Vol.
No
9°C
$16,630 Vol.
Yes
10°C
$13,219 Vol.
No
11°C
$15,666 Vol.
No
12°C
$21,927 Vol.
No
13°C
$18,947 Vol.
No
14°C
$8,376 Vol.
No
15°C
$5,204 Vol.
No
16°C
$3,612 Vol.
No
17°C or higher
$6,092 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that Moscow's highest temperature at Vnukovo International Airport reached exactly 9°C on April 26, backed by NOAA observational data showing peak readings amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity exceeding 80%, and intermittent rain that curtailed solar insolation and convective heating. Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Gidrometcentr) had forecasted daytime highs of 6–11°C under a Baltic cyclone influence, with southerly winds and overcast skies aligning precisely with these conditions, preventing further warming after midday. Typical late-April highs average 10–12°C historically, but today's cool, moist airmass dominated. Realistic challenges would require rare post-daylight data revisions from NOAA, unlikely given consistent METAR reports stabilizing around 8–9°C through evening. Final resolution awaits official NOAA confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 24, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volume
$143,931End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that Moscow's highest temperature at Vnukovo International Airport reached exactly 9°C on April 26, backed by NOAA observational data showing peak readings amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity exceeding 80%, and intermittent rain that curtailed solar insolation and convective heating. Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Gidrometcentr) had forecasted daytime highs of 6–11°C under a Baltic cyclone influence, with southerly winds and overcast skies aligning precisely with these conditions, preventing further warming after midday. Typical late-April highs average 10–12°C historically, but today's cool, moist airmass dominated. Realistic challenges would require rare post-daylight data revisions from NOAA, unlikely given consistent METAR reports stabilizing around 8–9°C through evening. Final resolution awaits official NOAA confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$143,931End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that Moscow's highest temperature at Vnukovo International Airport reached exactly 9°C on April 26, backed by NOAA observational data showing peak readings amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity exceeding 80%, and intermittent rain that curtailed solar insolation and convective heating. Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Gidrometcentr) had forecasted daytime highs of 6–11°C under a Baltic cyclone influence, with southerly winds and overcast skies aligning precisely with these conditions, preventing further warming after midday. Typical late-April highs average 10–12°C historically, but today's cool, moist airmass dominated. Realistic challenges would require rare post-daylight data revisions from NOAA, unlikely given consistent METAR reports stabilizing around 8–9°C through evening. Final resolution awaits official NOAA confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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