Official meteorological observations from Moscow stations have confirmed a daily maximum of 29°C on June 13, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that exact outcome. Recent days featured consistent highs near 30°C under a stable high-pressure pattern, aligning with seasonal norms for early summer in the region and supporting the recorded peak without exceeding it. Traders weighted verified data from authoritative sources such as Roshydromet over model projections, as resolution hinges on the official single-day maximum. Minor shifts could arise only from post-event data revisions or station discrepancies, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary readings are released.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on June 13?
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$56,325 Vol.
$56,325 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$56,325 Vol.
$56,325 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official meteorological observations from Moscow stations have confirmed a daily maximum of 29°C on June 13, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that exact outcome. Recent days featured consistent highs near 30°C under a stable high-pressure pattern, aligning with seasonal norms for early summer in the region and supporting the recorded peak without exceeding it. Traders weighted verified data from authoritative sources such as Roshydromet over model projections, as resolution hinges on the official single-day maximum. Minor shifts could arise only from post-event data revisions or station discrepancies, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary readings are released.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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