Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on June 28 will most likely peak near 22–24 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. This range reflects typical late-June climatology (historical average high ~22 °C) under moderate high pressure with limited warm-air advection and variable cloud cover that caps daytime heating. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing, wind direction, and any weak frontal moisture, which could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term variables more heavily than longer-range seasonal signals, given the two-day horizon to resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on June 28?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 28?
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$41,453 Vol.
$41,453 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$41,453 Vol.
$41,453 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
19°C or below
$1,216 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,326 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,830 Vol.
No
22°C
$21,302 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,801 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$2,689 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,329 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,600 Vol.
No
27°C
$904 Vol.
No
28°C
$687 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$769 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on June 28 will most likely peak near 22–24 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. This range reflects typical late-June climatology (historical average high ~22 °C) under moderate high pressure with limited warm-air advection and variable cloud cover that caps daytime heating. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing, wind direction, and any weak frontal moisture, which could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term variables more heavily than longer-range seasonal signals, given the two-day horizon to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$41,453End Date
Jun 28, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on June 28 will most likely peak near 22–24 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. This range reflects typical late-June climatology (historical average high ~22 °C) under moderate high pressure with limited warm-air advection and variable cloud cover that caps daytime heating. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing, wind direction, and any weak frontal moisture, which could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term variables more heavily than longer-range seasonal signals, given the two-day horizon to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,453End Date
Jun 28, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on June 28 will most likely peak near 22–24 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. This range reflects typical late-June climatology (historical average high ~22 °C) under moderate high pressure with limited warm-air advection and variable cloud cover that caps daytime heating. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing, wind direction, and any weak frontal moisture, which could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term variables more heavily than longer-range seasonal signals, given the two-day horizon to resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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