**Traders are positioning around 33–34°C as the most likely high for Panama City on July 29 because long-range and ensemble guidance points to typical wet-season conditions with scattered showers and variable cloud cover moderating daytime heating.** Historical July averages sit near 31–33°C, yet brief periods of reduced convection commonly allow peaks of 34–35°C when solar insolation increases. Recent AccuWeather monthly outlooks for the city show daily maxima spanning 31–35°C, reinforcing the narrow band currently favored by market-implied probabilities. Persistent high humidity and afternoon thunderstorm activity limit extreme outliers, while any temporary clearing could push readings toward the upper end of the distribution. Updated model runs and official monitoring agency briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on July 29?
Highest temperature in Panama City on July 29?
34°C 48%
33°C 36%
35°C 10%
32°C 8%
NEW
$10,941 Vol.
NEW
$10,941 Vol.
Jul 29, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
8%
33°C
36%
34°C
48%
35°C
10%
36°C
4%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 48%
33°C 36%
35°C 10%
32°C 8%
NEW
$10,941 Vol.
NEW
$10,941 Vol.
Jul 29, 2026
28°C or below
$433 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$408 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$342 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$282 Vol.
1%
32°C
$686 Vol.
8%
33°C
$4,997 Vol.
36%
34°C
$1,356 Vol.
48%
35°C
$926 Vol.
10%
36°C
$898 Vol.
4%
37°C
$418 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$296 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders are positioning around 33–34°C as the most likely high for Panama City on July 29 because long-range and ensemble guidance points to typical wet-season conditions with scattered showers and variable cloud cover moderating daytime heating.** Historical July averages sit near 31–33°C, yet brief periods of reduced convection commonly allow peaks of 34–35°C when solar insolation increases. Recent AccuWeather monthly outlooks for the city show daily maxima spanning 31–35°C, reinforcing the narrow band currently favored by market-implied probabilities. Persistent high humidity and afternoon thunderstorm activity limit extreme outliers, while any temporary clearing could push readings toward the upper end of the distribution. Updated model runs and official monitoring agency briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 27, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Volume
$10,941End Date
Jul 29, 2026Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders are positioning around 33–34°C as the most likely high for Panama City on July 29 because long-range and ensemble guidance points to typical wet-season conditions with scattered showers and variable cloud cover moderating daytime heating.** Historical July averages sit near 31–33°C, yet brief periods of reduced convection commonly allow peaks of 34–35°C when solar insolation increases. Recent AccuWeather monthly outlooks for the city show daily maxima spanning 31–35°C, reinforcing the narrow band currently favored by market-implied probabilities. Persistent high humidity and afternoon thunderstorm activity limit extreme outliers, while any temporary clearing could push readings toward the upper end of the distribution. Updated model runs and official monitoring agency briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,941End Date
Jul 29, 2026Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Traders are positioning around 33–34°C as the most likely high for Panama City on July 29 because long-range and ensemble guidance points to typical wet-season conditions with scattered showers and variable cloud cover moderating daytime heating.** Historical July averages sit near 31–33°C, yet brief periods of reduced convection commonly allow peaks of 34–35°C when solar insolation increases. Recent AccuWeather monthly outlooks for the city show daily maxima spanning 31–35°C, reinforcing the narrow band currently favored by market-implied probabilities. Persistent high humidity and afternoon thunderstorm activity limit extreme outliers, while any temporary clearing could push readings toward the upper end of the distribution. Updated model runs and official monitoring agency briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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