Current model guidance for Panama City, Panama, points to a June 20 high near the long-term average of 29–30 °C, with limited upside from reduced cloud cover or stronger insolation. High humidity, light trade winds, and the northward position of the ITCZ favor scattered afternoon convection that caps daytime heating, keeping most ensemble runs clustered between 30–32 °C. Recent satellite imagery shows persistent moisture and no strong subtropical ridge to suppress showers, while historical analogs indicate that any break in cloudiness could add 1–2 °C. Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to 30 °C, 31 °C, and 32 °C, reflecting the narrow range between typical convective suppression and occasional clearer intervals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on June 20?
Highest temperature in Panama City on June 20?
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$28,806 Vol.
$28,806 Vol.
Jun 20, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$28,806 Vol.
$28,806 Vol.
Jun 20, 2026
27°C or below
$618 Vol.
No
28°C
$832 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,924 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,283 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,364 Vol.
No
32°C
$6,792 Vol.
No
33°C
$6,627 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$2,215 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,453 Vol.
No
36°C
$702 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$997 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model guidance for Panama City, Panama, points to a June 20 high near the long-term average of 29–30 °C, with limited upside from reduced cloud cover or stronger insolation. High humidity, light trade winds, and the northward position of the ITCZ favor scattered afternoon convection that caps daytime heating, keeping most ensemble runs clustered between 30–32 °C. Recent satellite imagery shows persistent moisture and no strong subtropical ridge to suppress showers, while historical analogs indicate that any break in cloudiness could add 1–2 °C. Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to 30 °C, 31 °C, and 32 °C, reflecting the narrow range between typical convective suppression and occasional clearer intervals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 18, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$28,806End Date
Jun 20, 2026Market Opened
Jun 18, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model guidance for Panama City, Panama, points to a June 20 high near the long-term average of 29–30 °C, with limited upside from reduced cloud cover or stronger insolation. High humidity, light trade winds, and the northward position of the ITCZ favor scattered afternoon convection that caps daytime heating, keeping most ensemble runs clustered between 30–32 °C. Recent satellite imagery shows persistent moisture and no strong subtropical ridge to suppress showers, while historical analogs indicate that any break in cloudiness could add 1–2 °C. Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to 30 °C, 31 °C, and 32 °C, reflecting the narrow range between typical convective suppression and occasional clearer intervals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,806End Date
Jun 20, 2026Market Opened
Jun 18, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current model guidance for Panama City, Panama, points to a June 20 high near the long-term average of 29–30 °C, with limited upside from reduced cloud cover or stronger insolation. High humidity, light trade winds, and the northward position of the ITCZ favor scattered afternoon convection that caps daytime heating, keeping most ensemble runs clustered between 30–32 °C. Recent satellite imagery shows persistent moisture and no strong subtropical ridge to suppress showers, while historical analogs indicate that any break in cloudiness could add 1–2 °C. Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to 30 °C, 31 °C, and 32 °C, reflecting the narrow range between typical convective suppression and occasional clearer intervals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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