Current forecast guidance for Panama City, Panama, on June 22 centers on highs near 30°C amid the early rainy season, with models showing modest afternoon convective development that typically caps temperatures. Elevated regional sea-surface temperatures support baseline warmth, yet frequent cloud cover and scattered showers driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone introduce day-to-day variability, keeping 30°C and 31°C as the tightest market-implied outcomes at 25.5% and 27.0%. Clearer morning conditions could briefly allow 32°C, while stronger convection favors 29°C. This narrow distribution aligns with June climatology, where daily maxima cluster between 29°C and 32°C depending on timing of thunderstorm initiation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on June 22?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$20,540 Vol.
$20,540 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$20,540 Vol.
$20,540 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecast guidance for Panama City, Panama, on June 22 centers on highs near 30°C amid the early rainy season, with models showing modest afternoon convective development that typically caps temperatures. Elevated regional sea-surface temperatures support baseline warmth, yet frequent cloud cover and scattered showers driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone introduce day-to-day variability, keeping 30°C and 31°C as the tightest market-implied outcomes at 25.5% and 27.0%. Clearer morning conditions could briefly allow 32°C, while stronger convection favors 29°C. This narrow distribution aligns with June climatology, where daily maxima cluster between 29°C and 32°C depending on timing of thunderstorm initiation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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