Close model spreads across global ensembles keep the 29–31°C outcomes tightly bunched near 25–30% each, reflecting genuine uncertainty in tomorrow’s peak rather than any single dominant signal. In Panama City’s June wet-season regime, afternoon convection tied to the ITCZ and sea-breeze convergence frequently caps insolation; slight differences in forecast timing or coverage of showers can swing the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Recent runs show modest mid-level moisture and weak steering flow, conditions that historically produce scattered rather than widespread storms and allow brief windows of stronger heating. Updated high-resolution guidance tonight and early-morning satellite trends will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the 23 June observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on June 23?
Highest temperature in Panama City on June 23?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$17,395 Vol.
$17,395 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$17,395 Vol.
$17,395 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
26°C or below
$111 Vol.
No
27°C
$360 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,906 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,087 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,902 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$3,413 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,818 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,096 Vol.
No
34°C
$405 Vol.
No
35°C
$172 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$125 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close model spreads across global ensembles keep the 29–31°C outcomes tightly bunched near 25–30% each, reflecting genuine uncertainty in tomorrow’s peak rather than any single dominant signal. In Panama City’s June wet-season regime, afternoon convection tied to the ITCZ and sea-breeze convergence frequently caps insolation; slight differences in forecast timing or coverage of showers can swing the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Recent runs show modest mid-level moisture and weak steering flow, conditions that historically produce scattered rather than widespread storms and allow brief windows of stronger heating. Updated high-resolution guidance tonight and early-morning satellite trends will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the 23 June observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 21, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Volume
$17,395End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 21, 2026, 9:06 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close model spreads across global ensembles keep the 29–31°C outcomes tightly bunched near 25–30% each, reflecting genuine uncertainty in tomorrow’s peak rather than any single dominant signal. In Panama City’s June wet-season regime, afternoon convection tied to the ITCZ and sea-breeze convergence frequently caps insolation; slight differences in forecast timing or coverage of showers can swing the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Recent runs show modest mid-level moisture and weak steering flow, conditions that historically produce scattered rather than widespread storms and allow brief windows of stronger heating. Updated high-resolution guidance tonight and early-morning satellite trends will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the 23 June observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,395End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 21, 2026, 9:06 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Close model spreads across global ensembles keep the 29–31°C outcomes tightly bunched near 25–30% each, reflecting genuine uncertainty in tomorrow’s peak rather than any single dominant signal. In Panama City’s June wet-season regime, afternoon convection tied to the ITCZ and sea-breeze convergence frequently caps insolation; slight differences in forecast timing or coverage of showers can swing the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Recent runs show modest mid-level moisture and weak steering flow, conditions that historically produce scattered rather than widespread storms and allow brief windows of stronger heating. Updated high-resolution guidance tonight and early-morning satellite trends will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the 23 June observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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