The market's 100% implied probability for a 30°C high in Panama City on June 6 reflects confirmed observational data from regional weather stations, which recorded a peak of exactly 30°C (86°F) under typical early-June subtropical conditions. Persistent southerly flow and moderate humidity supported daytime warming to this level without triggering stronger convective activity that might suppress or elevate the maximum. This outcome aligns closely with climatological baselines for the area, where June highs average near 29–31°C. Only an unexpected revision in official station records or a shift in resolution methodology could alter the result, though current verified measurements leave little room for deviation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on June 6?
Highest temperature in Panama City on June 6?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$25,136 Vol.
$25,136 Vol.
Jun 6, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$25,136 Vol.
$25,136 Vol.
Jun 6, 2026
26°C or below
$2,171 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,277 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,895 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,175 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,237 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$2,184 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,815 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,141 Vol.
No
34°C
$459 Vol.
No
35°C
$327 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$454 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's 100% implied probability for a 30°C high in Panama City on June 6 reflects confirmed observational data from regional weather stations, which recorded a peak of exactly 30°C (86°F) under typical early-June subtropical conditions. Persistent southerly flow and moderate humidity supported daytime warming to this level without triggering stronger convective activity that might suppress or elevate the maximum. This outcome aligns closely with climatological baselines for the area, where June highs average near 29–31°C. Only an unexpected revision in official station records or a shift in resolution methodology could alter the result, though current verified measurements leave little room for deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volume
$25,136End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's 100% implied probability for a 30°C high in Panama City on June 6 reflects confirmed observational data from regional weather stations, which recorded a peak of exactly 30°C (86°F) under typical early-June subtropical conditions. Persistent southerly flow and moderate humidity supported daytime warming to this level without triggering stronger convective activity that might suppress or elevate the maximum. This outcome aligns closely with climatological baselines for the area, where June highs average near 29–31°C. Only an unexpected revision in official station records or a shift in resolution methodology could alter the result, though current verified measurements leave little room for deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,136End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The market's 100% implied probability for a 30°C high in Panama City on June 6 reflects confirmed observational data from regional weather stations, which recorded a peak of exactly 30°C (86°F) under typical early-June subtropical conditions. Persistent southerly flow and moderate humidity supported daytime warming to this level without triggering stronger convective activity that might suppress or elevate the maximum. This outcome aligns closely with climatological baselines for the area, where June highs average near 29–31°C. Only an unexpected revision in official station records or a shift in resolution methodology could alter the result, though current verified measurements leave little room for deviation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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