Official observations from Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG) in Panama City, Panama, confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, peaked at precisely 30°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for that outcome as real-time METAR reports rolled in overnight. This aligns with early morning data showing temperatures topping out amid persistent cloud cover and moderate thunderstorms that suppressed typical daytime heating in the region's humid tropical climate, where May climatological highs average 31°C. Model forecasts from NOAA and local agencies had hinted at this cap due to unstable atmospheric conditions. With data now finalized per station protocols, realistic challenges are negligible—only an improbable measurement revision from authoritative archives could shift resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on May 2?
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$44,727 Vol.
$44,727 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$44,727 Vol.
$44,727 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG) in Panama City, Panama, confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, peaked at precisely 30°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for that outcome as real-time METAR reports rolled in overnight. This aligns with early morning data showing temperatures topping out amid persistent cloud cover and moderate thunderstorms that suppressed typical daytime heating in the region's humid tropical climate, where May climatological highs average 31°C. Model forecasts from NOAA and local agencies had hinted at this cap due to unstable atmospheric conditions. With data now finalized per station protocols, realistic challenges are negligible—only an improbable measurement revision from authoritative archives could shift resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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