Official National Weather Service observations from the automated surface observing system (ASOS) at Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport (KECP), the standard reference for Panama City, Florida, recorded a maximum temperature of 31°C on May 3, 2026, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome. This measurement aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus under a building high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies, light northeast winds, and highs in the upper 80s°F (29-31°C), matching early May climatological norms where average daily highs hover around 28°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare quality-control revisions uncovering sensor anomalies or if resolution criteria favor a non-airport urban station reporting a discrepant peak. Final verified data expected within 24-48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on May 3?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 3?
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$28,053 Vol.
$28,053 Vol.
May 3, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$28,053 Vol.
$28,053 Vol.
May 3, 2026
22°C or below
$1,859 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,249 Vol.
No
24°C
$849 Vol.
No
25°C
$854 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,139 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,792 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,307 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,194 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,130 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,408 Vol.
Yes
32°C or higher
$4,272 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the automated surface observing system (ASOS) at Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport (KECP), the standard reference for Panama City, Florida, recorded a maximum temperature of 31°C on May 3, 2026, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome. This measurement aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus under a building high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies, light northeast winds, and highs in the upper 80s°F (29-31°C), matching early May climatological norms where average daily highs hover around 28°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare quality-control revisions uncovering sensor anomalies or if resolution criteria favor a non-airport urban station reporting a discrepant peak. Final verified data expected within 24-48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volume
$28,053End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the automated surface observing system (ASOS) at Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport (KECP), the standard reference for Panama City, Florida, recorded a maximum temperature of 31°C on May 3, 2026, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome. This measurement aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus under a building high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies, light northeast winds, and highs in the upper 80s°F (29-31°C), matching early May climatological norms where average daily highs hover around 28°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare quality-control revisions uncovering sensor anomalies or if resolution criteria favor a non-airport urban station reporting a discrepant peak. Final verified data expected within 24-48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,053End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Weather Service observations from the automated surface observing system (ASOS) at Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport (KECP), the standard reference for Panama City, Florida, recorded a maximum temperature of 31°C on May 3, 2026, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome. This measurement aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus under a building high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies, light northeast winds, and highs in the upper 80s°F (29-31°C), matching early May climatological norms where average daily highs hover around 28°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare quality-control revisions uncovering sensor anomalies or if resolution criteria favor a non-airport urban station reporting a discrepant peak. Final verified data expected within 24-48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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