Official observations from the National Weather Service station at San Francisco International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 74–75°F on June 14, 2026, aligning with trader consensus. Persistent marine layer conditions, driven by strong onshore flow and widespread stratus clouds, moderated daytime heating along the immediate coast despite broader regional warming trends. This setup, common in June climatology, typically caps highs near or below seasonal averages around 68–72°F at coastal sites. Model guidance from the National Weather Service had pointed to limited inland penetration of warmer air, supporting the narrow range. Scenarios that could have challenged the outcome include a stronger offshore wind event eroding the marine layer earlier or a sharper ridge allowing greater solar insolation, potentially pushing readings several degrees higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 14?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 14?
74-75°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$60,517 Vol.
$60,517 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
Yes
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
74-75°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$60,517 Vol.
$60,517 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
67°F or below
$5,473 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$5,907 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$2,650 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$6,042 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$9,372 Vol.
Yes
76-77°F
$8,085 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$10,321 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$7,410 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$3,026 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$1,280 Vol.
No
86°F or higher
$952 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the National Weather Service station at San Francisco International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 74–75°F on June 14, 2026, aligning with trader consensus. Persistent marine layer conditions, driven by strong onshore flow and widespread stratus clouds, moderated daytime heating along the immediate coast despite broader regional warming trends. This setup, common in June climatology, typically caps highs near or below seasonal averages around 68–72°F at coastal sites. Model guidance from the National Weather Service had pointed to limited inland penetration of warmer air, supporting the narrow range. Scenarios that could have challenged the outcome include a stronger offshore wind event eroding the marine layer earlier or a sharper ridge allowing greater solar insolation, potentially pushing readings several degrees higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 12, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
Volume
$60,517End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 9:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the National Weather Service station at San Francisco International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 74–75°F on June 14, 2026, aligning with trader consensus. Persistent marine layer conditions, driven by strong onshore flow and widespread stratus clouds, moderated daytime heating along the immediate coast despite broader regional warming trends. This setup, common in June climatology, typically caps highs near or below seasonal averages around 68–72°F at coastal sites. Model guidance from the National Weather Service had pointed to limited inland penetration of warmer air, supporting the narrow range. Scenarios that could have challenged the outcome include a stronger offshore wind event eroding the marine layer earlier or a sharper ridge allowing greater solar insolation, potentially pushing readings several degrees higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$60,517End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 9:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service station at San Francisco International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 74–75°F on June 14, 2026, aligning with trader consensus. Persistent marine layer conditions, driven by strong onshore flow and widespread stratus clouds, moderated daytime heating along the immediate coast despite broader regional warming trends. This setup, common in June climatology, typically caps highs near or below seasonal averages around 68–72°F at coastal sites. Model guidance from the National Weather Service had pointed to limited inland penetration of warmer air, supporting the narrow range. Scenarios that could have challenged the outcome include a stronger offshore wind event eroding the marine layer earlier or a sharper ridge allowing greater solar insolation, potentially pushing readings several degrees higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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