**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 72-73°F high for San Francisco on June 17, 2026, at 99.9% implied probability.** Official observations from the National Weather Service and KSFO station data align with this range, reflecting typical mid-June marine layer moderation tempered by localized warming under mostly sunny conditions. Forecasts from NWS and AccuWeather had projected highs near 66-72°F, with model consensus holding steady as the day progressed and no significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification occurred. This positioning draws on historical climatology showing average June highs around 67°F at the airport, adjusted for observed synoptic patterns. Scenarios that could challenge resolution include revised official reports, station-specific anomalies, or measurement discrepancies exceeding the narrow bin, though such shifts remain low-probability given the tight data alignment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 17?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 17?
72-73°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$79,668 Vol.
$79,668 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
63°F or below
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82°F or higher
No
72-73°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$79,668 Vol.
$79,668 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
63°F or below
$7,571 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$12,388 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$7,204 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$9,698 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$6,476 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$10,533 Vol.
Yes
74-75°F
$8,749 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$8,036 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$2,439 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$2,026 Vol.
No
82°F or higher
$4,546 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 72-73°F high for San Francisco on June 17, 2026, at 99.9% implied probability.** Official observations from the National Weather Service and KSFO station data align with this range, reflecting typical mid-June marine layer moderation tempered by localized warming under mostly sunny conditions. Forecasts from NWS and AccuWeather had projected highs near 66-72°F, with model consensus holding steady as the day progressed and no significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification occurred. This positioning draws on historical climatology showing average June highs around 67°F at the airport, adjusted for observed synoptic patterns. Scenarios that could challenge resolution include revised official reports, station-specific anomalies, or measurement discrepancies exceeding the narrow bin, though such shifts remain low-probability given the tight data alignment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$79,668End Date
Jun 17, 2026Market Opened
Jun 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 72-73°F high for San Francisco on June 17, 2026, at 99.9% implied probability.** Official observations from the National Weather Service and KSFO station data align with this range, reflecting typical mid-June marine layer moderation tempered by localized warming under mostly sunny conditions. Forecasts from NWS and AccuWeather had projected highs near 66-72°F, with model consensus holding steady as the day progressed and no significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification occurred. This positioning draws on historical climatology showing average June highs around 67°F at the airport, adjusted for observed synoptic patterns. Scenarios that could challenge resolution include revised official reports, station-specific anomalies, or measurement discrepancies exceeding the narrow bin, though such shifts remain low-probability given the tight data alignment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$79,668End Date
Jun 17, 2026Market Opened
Jun 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 72-73°F high for San Francisco on June 17, 2026, at 99.9% implied probability.** Official observations from the National Weather Service and KSFO station data align with this range, reflecting typical mid-June marine layer moderation tempered by localized warming under mostly sunny conditions. Forecasts from NWS and AccuWeather had projected highs near 66-72°F, with model consensus holding steady as the day progressed and no significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification occurred. This positioning draws on historical climatology showing average June highs around 67°F at the airport, adjusted for observed synoptic patterns. Scenarios that could challenge resolution include revised official reports, station-specific anomalies, or measurement discrepancies exceeding the narrow bin, though such shifts remain low-probability given the tight data alignment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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