The market has settled decisively on 66-67°F as San Francisco’s highest temperature on June 2, reflecting official National Weather Service observations that recorded the day’s peak within that narrow band. With the date now concluded, verified station data has removed all forecast uncertainty and aligned trader positions with the measured outcome. Typical early-June conditions in the Bay Area feature daytime highs in the mid-60s under marine influence, providing climatological support for this result. Any deviation from this range would have required an atypical warming event or data revision that did not occur, leaving the 100% market-implied probability firmly grounded in the confirmed reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 2?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 2?
66-67°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$47,820 Vol.
$47,820 Vol.
Jun 2, 2026
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$47,820 Vol.
$47,820 Vol.
Jun 2, 2026
49°F or below
$188 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$188 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$287 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$444 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$1,994 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$1,566 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$1,853 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$8,518 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$9,627 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$11,114 Vol.
Yes
68°F or higher
$12,042 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market has settled decisively on 66-67°F as San Francisco’s highest temperature on June 2, reflecting official National Weather Service observations that recorded the day’s peak within that narrow band. With the date now concluded, verified station data has removed all forecast uncertainty and aligned trader positions with the measured outcome. Typical early-June conditions in the Bay Area feature daytime highs in the mid-60s under marine influence, providing climatological support for this result. Any deviation from this range would have required an atypical warming event or data revision that did not occur, leaving the 100% market-implied probability firmly grounded in the confirmed reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$47,820End Date
Jun 2, 2026Market Opened
May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market has settled decisively on 66-67°F as San Francisco’s highest temperature on June 2, reflecting official National Weather Service observations that recorded the day’s peak within that narrow band. With the date now concluded, verified station data has removed all forecast uncertainty and aligned trader positions with the measured outcome. Typical early-June conditions in the Bay Area feature daytime highs in the mid-60s under marine influence, providing climatological support for this result. Any deviation from this range would have required an atypical warming event or data revision that did not occur, leaving the 100% market-implied probability firmly grounded in the confirmed reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$47,820End Date
Jun 2, 2026Market Opened
May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The market has settled decisively on 66-67°F as San Francisco’s highest temperature on June 2, reflecting official National Weather Service observations that recorded the day’s peak within that narrow band. With the date now concluded, verified station data has removed all forecast uncertainty and aligned trader positions with the measured outcome. Typical early-June conditions in the Bay Area feature daytime highs in the mid-60s under marine influence, providing climatological support for this result. Any deviation from this range would have required an atypical warming event or data revision that did not occur, leaving the 100% market-implied probability firmly grounded in the confirmed reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions