Trader consensus clusters tightly around 66–71°F for San Francisco’s official high on June 22 because short-range models and National Weather Service guidance show persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer capping daytime warming near the coast. This classic June pattern—stratus and fog burning off by midday—typically limits peaks to the mid-to-upper 60s at the KSFO station, with slight variations depending on the depth of the inversion and exact wind direction. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the near-even probabilities across those three brackets, while warmer outcomes above 72°F require a stronger offshore component that current guidance does not indicate. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final range before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 22?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 22?
66-67°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$45,896 Vol.
$45,896 Vol.
Jun 22, 2026
61°F or below
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$45,896 Vol.
$45,896 Vol.
Jun 22, 2026
61°F or below
$5,283 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$7,504 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$14,106 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$4,320 Vol.
Yes
68-69°F
$4,215 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$4,492 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$1,793 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$986 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,647 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$543 Vol.
No
80°F or higher
$1,008 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 66–71°F for San Francisco’s official high on June 22 because short-range models and National Weather Service guidance show persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer capping daytime warming near the coast. This classic June pattern—stratus and fog burning off by midday—typically limits peaks to the mid-to-upper 60s at the KSFO station, with slight variations depending on the depth of the inversion and exact wind direction. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the near-even probabilities across those three brackets, while warmer outcomes above 72°F require a stronger offshore component that current guidance does not indicate. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final range before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Volume
$45,896End Date
Jun 22, 2026Market Opened
Jun 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 66–71°F for San Francisco’s official high on June 22 because short-range models and National Weather Service guidance show persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer capping daytime warming near the coast. This classic June pattern—stratus and fog burning off by midday—typically limits peaks to the mid-to-upper 60s at the KSFO station, with slight variations depending on the depth of the inversion and exact wind direction. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the near-even probabilities across those three brackets, while warmer outcomes above 72°F require a stronger offshore component that current guidance does not indicate. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final range before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45,896End Date
Jun 22, 2026Market Opened
Jun 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus clusters tightly around 66–71°F for San Francisco’s official high on June 22 because short-range models and National Weather Service guidance show persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer capping daytime warming near the coast. This classic June pattern—stratus and fog burning off by midday—typically limits peaks to the mid-to-upper 60s at the KSFO station, with slight variations depending on the depth of the inversion and exact wind direction. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the near-even probabilities across those three brackets, while warmer outcomes above 72°F require a stronger offshore component that current guidance does not indicate. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final range before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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