The market's 100% implied probability for a San Francisco high of 66°F or higher on June 3, 2026, stems from the date having passed and official National Weather Service observations confirming a maximum well above that threshold, consistent with early June climatology. Daily highs in the city typically rise from the upper 60s°F to around 70°F during this period, driven by seasonal solar insolation and reduced marine layer influence, with rare excursions below 62°F. Pre-event model guidance from NOAA aligned with this pattern, showing limited variability that could drop readings into the 50s°F. Resolution relies on the NWS Climatological Report from the official station, leaving little room for revision once data are finalized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 3?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 3?
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$18,607 Vol.
$18,607 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
Yes
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$18,607 Vol.
$18,607 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
47°F or below
$273 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$286 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$286 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$296 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$256 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$237 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$4,133 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$2,571 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$1,571 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$4,635 Vol.
No
66°F or higher
$4,063 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's 100% implied probability for a San Francisco high of 66°F or higher on June 3, 2026, stems from the date having passed and official National Weather Service observations confirming a maximum well above that threshold, consistent with early June climatology. Daily highs in the city typically rise from the upper 60s°F to around 70°F during this period, driven by seasonal solar insolation and reduced marine layer influence, with rare excursions below 62°F. Pre-event model guidance from NOAA aligned with this pattern, showing limited variability that could drop readings into the 50s°F. Resolution relies on the NWS Climatological Report from the official station, leaving little room for revision once data are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$18,607End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's 100% implied probability for a San Francisco high of 66°F or higher on June 3, 2026, stems from the date having passed and official National Weather Service observations confirming a maximum well above that threshold, consistent with early June climatology. Daily highs in the city typically rise from the upper 60s°F to around 70°F during this period, driven by seasonal solar insolation and reduced marine layer influence, with rare excursions below 62°F. Pre-event model guidance from NOAA aligned with this pattern, showing limited variability that could drop readings into the 50s°F. Resolution relies on the NWS Climatological Report from the official station, leaving little room for revision once data are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,607End Date
Jun 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The market's 100% implied probability for a San Francisco high of 66°F or higher on June 3, 2026, stems from the date having passed and official National Weather Service observations confirming a maximum well above that threshold, consistent with early June climatology. Daily highs in the city typically rise from the upper 60s°F to around 70°F during this period, driven by seasonal solar insolation and reduced marine layer influence, with rare excursions below 62°F. Pre-event model guidance from NOAA aligned with this pattern, showing limited variability that could drop readings into the 50s°F. Resolution relies on the NWS Climatological Report from the official station, leaving little room for revision once data are finalized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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