The market's decisive consensus on a 66-67°F daily high for San Francisco on June 4 reflects official National Weather Service observations that placed the peak temperature squarely in this narrow range. Early June marine-layer stratus combined with steady onshore flow from the Pacific kept maximum readings moderate, consistent with the city's climatological baseline where highs typically hover between 60°F and 70°F. Multiple local stations and short-range forecast models converged on this outcome in the days leading up to the date, leaving little room for deviation. While post-event data revisions remain theoretically possible, the alignment of independent measurements makes any shift outside the 66-67°F bin highly unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 4?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 4?
66-67°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$33,235 Vol.
$33,235 Vol.
Jun 4, 2026
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$33,235 Vol.
$33,235 Vol.
Jun 4, 2026
49°F or below
$223 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$188 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$188 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$2,261 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$195 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$343 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$658 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$1,981 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$10,998 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$8,820 Vol.
Yes
68°F or higher
$7,380 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's decisive consensus on a 66-67°F daily high for San Francisco on June 4 reflects official National Weather Service observations that placed the peak temperature squarely in this narrow range. Early June marine-layer stratus combined with steady onshore flow from the Pacific kept maximum readings moderate, consistent with the city's climatological baseline where highs typically hover between 60°F and 70°F. Multiple local stations and short-range forecast models converged on this outcome in the days leading up to the date, leaving little room for deviation. While post-event data revisions remain theoretically possible, the alignment of independent measurements makes any shift outside the 66-67°F bin highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$33,235End Date
Jun 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's decisive consensus on a 66-67°F daily high for San Francisco on June 4 reflects official National Weather Service observations that placed the peak temperature squarely in this narrow range. Early June marine-layer stratus combined with steady onshore flow from the Pacific kept maximum readings moderate, consistent with the city's climatological baseline where highs typically hover between 60°F and 70°F. Multiple local stations and short-range forecast models converged on this outcome in the days leading up to the date, leaving little room for deviation. While post-event data revisions remain theoretically possible, the alignment of independent measurements makes any shift outside the 66-67°F bin highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,235End Date
Jun 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The market's decisive consensus on a 66-67°F daily high for San Francisco on June 4 reflects official National Weather Service observations that placed the peak temperature squarely in this narrow range. Early June marine-layer stratus combined with steady onshore flow from the Pacific kept maximum readings moderate, consistent with the city's climatological baseline where highs typically hover between 60°F and 70°F. Multiple local stations and short-range forecast models converged on this outcome in the days leading up to the date, leaving little room for deviation. While post-event data revisions remain theoretically possible, the alignment of independent measurements makes any shift outside the 66-67°F bin highly unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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