National Weather Service forecasts for the San Francisco Bay Area projected daytime highs of 67–71°F on May 22 under mostly sunny conditions and light westerly winds, well above the month’s typical 64°F average. These conditions aligned with trader consensus reflected in the 100% implied probability for a high of 66°F or higher. Official observations from stations such as San Francisco International Airport ultimately determine resolution, with minimal scope for downward revision once data are finalized. A rapid marine layer intrusion or unforecast cloud cover could have tempered readings, though model consensus and real-time conditions made such outcomes improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 22?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 22?
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$17,355 Vol.
$17,355 Vol.
May 22, 2026
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
Yes
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$17,355 Vol.
$17,355 Vol.
May 22, 2026
47°F or below
$407 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$257 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$305 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$505 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$716 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$787 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$1,509 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$854 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$2,150 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$4,459 Vol.
No
66°F or higher
$5,406 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for the San Francisco Bay Area projected daytime highs of 67–71°F on May 22 under mostly sunny conditions and light westerly winds, well above the month’s typical 64°F average. These conditions aligned with trader consensus reflected in the 100% implied probability for a high of 66°F or higher. Official observations from stations such as San Francisco International Airport ultimately determine resolution, with minimal scope for downward revision once data are finalized. A rapid marine layer intrusion or unforecast cloud cover could have tempered readings, though model consensus and real-time conditions made such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Volume
$17,355End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:41 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for the San Francisco Bay Area projected daytime highs of 67–71°F on May 22 under mostly sunny conditions and light westerly winds, well above the month’s typical 64°F average. These conditions aligned with trader consensus reflected in the 100% implied probability for a high of 66°F or higher. Official observations from stations such as San Francisco International Airport ultimately determine resolution, with minimal scope for downward revision once data are finalized. A rapid marine layer intrusion or unforecast cloud cover could have tempered readings, though model consensus and real-time conditions made such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$17,355End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:41 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
National Weather Service forecasts for the San Francisco Bay Area projected daytime highs of 67–71°F on May 22 under mostly sunny conditions and light westerly winds, well above the month’s typical 64°F average. These conditions aligned with trader consensus reflected in the 100% implied probability for a high of 66°F or higher. Official observations from stations such as San Francisco International Airport ultimately determine resolution, with minimal scope for downward revision once data are finalized. A rapid marine layer intrusion or unforecast cloud cover could have tempered readings, though model consensus and real-time conditions made such outcomes improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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