Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS show a consensus high near 23°C at Incheon International Airport Station for April 16, driving closely matched market-implied odds for 24°C or higher (29%), 23°C (26%), and 22°C (20%). This positioning reflects springtime uncertainty from variable cloud cover suppressing peaks under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds advecting mild air masses amid a warming high-pressure ridge. Historical mid-April highs average 18-20°C but recent hotter-than-normal patterns add upside potential; cooler sea breezes off the Yellow Sea could cap Incheon readings lower. Traders await KMA hourly updates and evening model refreshes for resolution clarity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on April 16?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 16?
24°C or higher 31.1%
23°C 27%
21°C 17%
22°C 16%
NEW
$14,251 Vol.
NEW
$14,251 Vol.
Apr 16, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
10%
21°C
17%
22°C
16%
23°C
27%
24°C or higher
31%
24°C or higher 31.1%
23°C 27%
21°C 17%
22°C 16%
NEW
$14,251 Vol.
NEW
$14,251 Vol.
Apr 16, 2026
14°C or below
$747 Vol.
1%
15°C
$747 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$2,268 Vol.
1%
17°C
$1,781 Vol.
1%
18°C
$2,553 Vol.
2%
19°C
$1,515 Vol.
4%
20°C
$775 Vol.
10%
21°C
$669 Vol.
17%
22°C
$996 Vol.
16%
23°C
$883 Vol.
27%
24°C or higher
$1,639 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS show a consensus high near 23°C at Incheon International Airport Station for April 16, driving closely matched market-implied odds for 24°C or higher (29%), 23°C (26%), and 22°C (20%). This positioning reflects springtime uncertainty from variable cloud cover suppressing peaks under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds advecting mild air masses amid a warming high-pressure ridge. Historical mid-April highs average 18-20°C but recent hotter-than-normal patterns add upside potential; cooler sea breezes off the Yellow Sea could cap Incheon readings lower. Traders await KMA hourly updates and evening model refreshes for resolution clarity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volume
$14,251End Date
Apr 16, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS show a consensus high near 23°C at Incheon International Airport Station for April 16, driving closely matched market-implied odds for 24°C or higher (29%), 23°C (26%), and 22°C (20%). This positioning reflects springtime uncertainty from variable cloud cover suppressing peaks under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds advecting mild air masses amid a warming high-pressure ridge. Historical mid-April highs average 18-20°C but recent hotter-than-normal patterns add upside potential; cooler sea breezes off the Yellow Sea could cap Incheon readings lower. Traders await KMA hourly updates and evening model refreshes for resolution clarity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$14,251End Date
Apr 16, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS show a consensus high near 23°C at Incheon International Airport Station for April 16, driving closely matched market-implied odds for 24°C or higher (29%), 23°C (26%), and 22°C (20%). This positioning reflects springtime uncertainty from variable cloud cover suppressing peaks under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds advecting mild air masses amid a warming high-pressure ridge. Historical mid-April highs average 18-20°C but recent hotter-than-normal patterns add upside potential; cooler sea breezes off the Yellow Sea could cap Incheon readings lower. Traders await KMA hourly updates and evening model refreshes for resolution clarity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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