Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on April 19 reaching 24–29°C at Incheon International Airport station—the market's resolution point—driving the 100% implied probability for 24°C or higher amid an unseasonable mid-April heatwave. Recent observations show daytime highs already surpassing 27°C earlier this week, fueled by persistent high-pressure systems and above-normal solar insolation, well exceeding the seasonal average of 17°C. Global models like ECMWF and GFS align on continued warmth with light winds and minimal cloud cover. While sudden cold fronts or increased cloudiness could cap peaks below 24°C, current trajectories and hourly KMA updates indicate negligible risk, reflecting trader consensus on robust scientific evidence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on April 19?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 19?
24°C or higher 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$353,701 Vol.
$353,701 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
Yes
24°C or higher 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$353,701 Vol.
$353,701 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
14°C or below
$32,172 Vol.
No
15°C
$13,414 Vol.
No
16°C
$22,920 Vol.
No
17°C
$27,907 Vol.
No
18°C
$28,434 Vol.
No
19°C
$28,781 Vol.
No
20°C
$39,783 Vol.
No
21°C
$39,968 Vol.
No
22°C
$31,822 Vol.
No
23°C
$28,026 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$60,475 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on April 19 reaching 24–29°C at Incheon International Airport station—the market's resolution point—driving the 100% implied probability for 24°C or higher amid an unseasonable mid-April heatwave. Recent observations show daytime highs already surpassing 27°C earlier this week, fueled by persistent high-pressure systems and above-normal solar insolation, well exceeding the seasonal average of 17°C. Global models like ECMWF and GFS align on continued warmth with light winds and minimal cloud cover. While sudden cold fronts or increased cloudiness could cap peaks below 24°C, current trajectories and hourly KMA updates indicate negligible risk, reflecting trader consensus on robust scientific evidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$353,701End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on April 19 reaching 24–29°C at Incheon International Airport station—the market's resolution point—driving the 100% implied probability for 24°C or higher amid an unseasonable mid-April heatwave. Recent observations show daytime highs already surpassing 27°C earlier this week, fueled by persistent high-pressure systems and above-normal solar insolation, well exceeding the seasonal average of 17°C. Global models like ECMWF and GFS align on continued warmth with light winds and minimal cloud cover. While sudden cold fronts or increased cloudiness could cap peaks below 24°C, current trajectories and hourly KMA updates indicate negligible risk, reflecting trader consensus on robust scientific evidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$353,701End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on April 19 reaching 24–29°C at Incheon International Airport station—the market's resolution point—driving the 100% implied probability for 24°C or higher amid an unseasonable mid-April heatwave. Recent observations show daytime highs already surpassing 27°C earlier this week, fueled by persistent high-pressure systems and above-normal solar insolation, well exceeding the seasonal average of 17°C. Global models like ECMWF and GFS align on continued warmth with light winds and minimal cloud cover. While sudden cold fronts or increased cloudiness could cap peaks below 24°C, current trajectories and hourly KMA updates indicate negligible risk, reflecting trader consensus on robust scientific evidence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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