Official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration confirm daytime maxima reaching 30°C in Seoul on June 17 under clear to partly cloudy skies and southerly flow, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. This consensus draws from real-time surface measurements, urban heat-island effects amplifying readings by 1–2°C above regional baselines, and model guidance showing limited afternoon mixing amid moderate humidity. Historical June averages near 27–28°C provide context for the slight positive anomaly driven by a high-pressure ridge. Only an unexpected late-day frontal passage or measurement revision could realistically shift the recorded high, though current conditions make such scenarios improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on June 17?
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 17?
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$224,577 Vol.
$224,577 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$224,577 Vol.
$224,577 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
21°C or below
$1,404 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,615 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,590 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,791 Vol.
No
25°C
$15,174 Vol.
No
26°C
$18,843 Vol.
No
27°C
$23,973 Vol.
No
28°C
$20,502 Vol.
No
29°C
$38,185 Vol.
No
30°C
$41,028 Vol.
Yes
31°C or higher
$53,473 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration confirm daytime maxima reaching 30°C in Seoul on June 17 under clear to partly cloudy skies and southerly flow, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. This consensus draws from real-time surface measurements, urban heat-island effects amplifying readings by 1–2°C above regional baselines, and model guidance showing limited afternoon mixing amid moderate humidity. Historical June averages near 27–28°C provide context for the slight positive anomaly driven by a high-pressure ridge. Only an unexpected late-day frontal passage or measurement revision could realistically shift the recorded high, though current conditions make such scenarios improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$224,577End Date
Jun 17, 2026Market Opened
Jun 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration confirm daytime maxima reaching 30°C in Seoul on June 17 under clear to partly cloudy skies and southerly flow, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. This consensus draws from real-time surface measurements, urban heat-island effects amplifying readings by 1–2°C above regional baselines, and model guidance showing limited afternoon mixing amid moderate humidity. Historical June averages near 27–28°C provide context for the slight positive anomaly driven by a high-pressure ridge. Only an unexpected late-day frontal passage or measurement revision could realistically shift the recorded high, though current conditions make such scenarios improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$224,577End Date
Jun 17, 2026Market Opened
Jun 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration confirm daytime maxima reaching 30°C in Seoul on June 17 under clear to partly cloudy skies and southerly flow, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. This consensus draws from real-time surface measurements, urban heat-island effects amplifying readings by 1–2°C above regional baselines, and model guidance showing limited afternoon mixing amid moderate humidity. Historical June averages near 27–28°C provide context for the slight positive anomaly driven by a high-pressure ridge. Only an unexpected late-day frontal passage or measurement revision could realistically shift the recorded high, though current conditions make such scenarios improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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