Current meteorological forecasts from ensemble models converge on a daily maximum of 33°C in Shenzhen on June 2 under typical early-June subtropical monsoon conditions, with southerly flow, high humidity, and scattered afternoon showers limiting peak solar heating. This aligns with climatological baselines of 31–32°C highs for the region, where moderate cloud cover and convective activity prevent significant deviations. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 33°C reflects this model agreement and low upside risk for 34°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require unexpected reductions in cloud cover or delayed precipitation that allow greater surface heating, though latest guidance shows no such signals before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 2?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 2?
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$126,842 Vol.
$126,842 Vol.
2026/06/02
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$126,842 Vol.
$126,842 Vol.
2026/06/02
25°C or below
$662 Vol.
No
26°C
$612 Vol.
No
27°C
$776 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,866 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,399 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,903 Vol.
No
31°C
$35,576 Vol.
No
32°C
$43,112 Vol.
No
33°C
$16,660 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$8,931 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$11,344 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from ensemble models converge on a daily maximum of 33°C in Shenzhen on June 2 under typical early-June subtropical monsoon conditions, with southerly flow, high humidity, and scattered afternoon showers limiting peak solar heating. This aligns with climatological baselines of 31–32°C highs for the region, where moderate cloud cover and convective activity prevent significant deviations. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 33°C reflects this model agreement and low upside risk for 34°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require unexpected reductions in cloud cover or delayed precipitation that allow greater surface heating, though latest guidance shows no such signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： May 31, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
音量
$126,842終了日
2026/06/02マーケット開始日
May 31, 2026, 12:18 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from ensemble models converge on a daily maximum of 33°C in Shenzhen on June 2 under typical early-June subtropical monsoon conditions, with southerly flow, high humidity, and scattered afternoon showers limiting peak solar heating. This aligns with climatological baselines of 31–32°C highs for the region, where moderate cloud cover and convective activity prevent significant deviations. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 33°C reflects this model agreement and low upside risk for 34°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require unexpected reductions in cloud cover or delayed precipitation that allow greater surface heating, though latest guidance shows no such signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$126,842終了日
2026/06/02マーケット開始日
May 31, 2026, 12:18 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Current meteorological forecasts from ensemble models converge on a daily maximum of 33°C in Shenzhen on June 2 under typical early-June subtropical monsoon conditions, with southerly flow, high humidity, and scattered afternoon showers limiting peak solar heating. This aligns with climatological baselines of 31–32°C highs for the region, where moderate cloud cover and convective activity prevent significant deviations. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 33°C reflects this model agreement and low upside risk for 34°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require unexpected reductions in cloud cover or delayed precipitation that allow greater surface heating, though latest guidance shows no such signals before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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