Trader consensus pins a 100% implied probability on 32°C as Singapore's highest temperature on April 19, driven by National Environment Agency (NEA) observations showing peak readings at or below this threshold at key stations like Changi, with no significant escalation in the latest hourly data amid afternoon thundery showers. April's inter-monsoon climatology typically yields daily maximums around 31–33°C, supported by consistent model runs from NEA forecasting light winds and cloud cover suppressing further warming before sunset near 7 PM. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-day heat burst from sudden clearing skies, though historical precedents and current humidity levels (above 70%) make exceeding 32°C unlikely without major forecast divergence. Final NEA daily summary expected post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on April 19?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 19?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$119,752 Vol.
$119,752 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$119,752 Vol.
$119,752 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
25°C or below
$1,741 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,663 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,695 Vol.
No
28°C
$9,236 Vol.
No
29°C
$10,179 Vol.
No
30°C
$8,279 Vol.
No
31°C
$9,007 Vol.
No
32°C
$25,604 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$13,765 Vol.
No
34°C
$20,217 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$18,366 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus pins a 100% implied probability on 32°C as Singapore's highest temperature on April 19, driven by National Environment Agency (NEA) observations showing peak readings at or below this threshold at key stations like Changi, with no significant escalation in the latest hourly data amid afternoon thundery showers. April's inter-monsoon climatology typically yields daily maximums around 31–33°C, supported by consistent model runs from NEA forecasting light winds and cloud cover suppressing further warming before sunset near 7 PM. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-day heat burst from sudden clearing skies, though historical precedents and current humidity levels (above 70%) make exceeding 32°C unlikely without major forecast divergence. Final NEA daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$119,752End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus pins a 100% implied probability on 32°C as Singapore's highest temperature on April 19, driven by National Environment Agency (NEA) observations showing peak readings at or below this threshold at key stations like Changi, with no significant escalation in the latest hourly data amid afternoon thundery showers. April's inter-monsoon climatology typically yields daily maximums around 31–33°C, supported by consistent model runs from NEA forecasting light winds and cloud cover suppressing further warming before sunset near 7 PM. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-day heat burst from sudden clearing skies, though historical precedents and current humidity levels (above 70%) make exceeding 32°C unlikely without major forecast divergence. Final NEA daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$119,752End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus pins a 100% implied probability on 32°C as Singapore's highest temperature on April 19, driven by National Environment Agency (NEA) observations showing peak readings at or below this threshold at key stations like Changi, with no significant escalation in the latest hourly data amid afternoon thundery showers. April's inter-monsoon climatology typically yields daily maximums around 31–33°C, supported by consistent model runs from NEA forecasting light winds and cloud cover suppressing further warming before sunset near 7 PM. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-day heat burst from sudden clearing skies, though historical precedents and current humidity levels (above 70%) make exceeding 32°C unlikely without major forecast divergence. Final NEA daily summary expected post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions