Official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations confirm the highest daily maximum temperature across Singapore's automatic weather stations reached 33°C on May 2, 2026, anchoring trader sentiment at a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid the market's resolution criteria. Inter-monsoon conditions prevailed, with frequent afternoon thundery showers and above-average rainfall tempering solar heating, consistent with NEA's fortnightly outlook forecasting 33–35°C peaks. This fits Singapore's equatorial climate, where May daily maxima typically range 32–34°C, moderated by high humidity and convective activity. Realistic challenges include rare NEA data revisions from equipment calibrations or quality checks, though corroborated readings from stations like Changi and Paya Lebar solidify the consensus; historical records finalize around the 10th.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on May 2?
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$155,677 Vol.
$155,677 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$155,677 Vol.
$155,677 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations confirm the highest daily maximum temperature across Singapore's automatic weather stations reached 33°C on May 2, 2026, anchoring trader sentiment at a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid the market's resolution criteria. Inter-monsoon conditions prevailed, with frequent afternoon thundery showers and above-average rainfall tempering solar heating, consistent with NEA's fortnightly outlook forecasting 33–35°C peaks. This fits Singapore's equatorial climate, where May daily maxima typically range 32–34°C, moderated by high humidity and convective activity. Realistic challenges include rare NEA data revisions from equipment calibrations or quality checks, though corroborated readings from stations like Changi and Paya Lebar solidify the consensus; historical records finalize around the 10th.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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