Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C in Singapore today, backed by verified observations from the Meteorological Service Singapore's Changi Airport climate station—the official reference for such metrics—where the daily maximum peaked at precisely 31°C amid persistent afternoon thundery showers. Early May's inter-monsoon conditions, featuring frequent convective activity and cloud cover, suppressed solar heating that could have driven intensities toward 33–35°C seen in recent April heatwaves, aligning with climatological norms of 31–32°C highs. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day heat burst exceeding the peak before evening cooling, though current satellite imagery and model outputs indicate diminishing instability. Final data release expected via MSS daily summary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on May 4?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 4?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$175,173 Vol.
$175,173 Vol.
May 4, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$175,173 Vol.
$175,173 Vol.
May 4, 2026
25°C or below
$1,031 Vol.
No
26°C
$516 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,530 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,989 Vol.
No
29°C
$9,224 Vol.
No
30°C
$46,081 Vol.
No
31°C
$25,767 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$24,543 Vol.
No
33°C
$28,870 Vol.
No
34°C
$23,125 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$8,498 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C in Singapore today, backed by verified observations from the Meteorological Service Singapore's Changi Airport climate station—the official reference for such metrics—where the daily maximum peaked at precisely 31°C amid persistent afternoon thundery showers. Early May's inter-monsoon conditions, featuring frequent convective activity and cloud cover, suppressed solar heating that could have driven intensities toward 33–35°C seen in recent April heatwaves, aligning with climatological norms of 31–32°C highs. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day heat burst exceeding the peak before evening cooling, though current satellite imagery and model outputs indicate diminishing instability. Final data release expected via MSS daily summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$175,173End Date
May 4, 2026Market Opened
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C in Singapore today, backed by verified observations from the Meteorological Service Singapore's Changi Airport climate station—the official reference for such metrics—where the daily maximum peaked at precisely 31°C amid persistent afternoon thundery showers. Early May's inter-monsoon conditions, featuring frequent convective activity and cloud cover, suppressed solar heating that could have driven intensities toward 33–35°C seen in recent April heatwaves, aligning with climatological norms of 31–32°C highs. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day heat burst exceeding the peak before evening cooling, though current satellite imagery and model outputs indicate diminishing instability. Final data release expected via MSS daily summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$175,173End Date
May 4, 2026Market Opened
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C in Singapore today, backed by verified observations from the Meteorological Service Singapore's Changi Airport climate station—the official reference for such metrics—where the daily maximum peaked at precisely 31°C amid persistent afternoon thundery showers. Early May's inter-monsoon conditions, featuring frequent convective activity and cloud cover, suppressed solar heating that could have driven intensities toward 33–35°C seen in recent April heatwaves, aligning with climatological norms of 31–32°C highs. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day heat burst exceeding the peak before evening cooling, though current satellite imagery and model outputs indicate diminishing instability. Final data release expected via MSS daily summary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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