Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 31°C as Singapore's highest temperature on May 6, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting National Environment Agency (NEA) observational data from automated climate stations across the island. Despite NEA's April 30 fortnightly outlook forecasting daily maximums of 33–35°C amid inter-monsoon conditions, frequent afternoon thundery showers—totaling above-average rainfall—suppressed peak heating, capping the observed high at 31°C, consistent with May climatology where averages hover around 31°C but showers often limit extremes. Historical patterns show such convective activity routinely moderates tropical heat; official records, updated by the 10th, could confirm this, though revisions are rare absent measurement errors. A challenge would require overlooked station data exceeding 31°C before midnight, unlikely given evening cooling trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on May 6?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 6?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$70,271 Vol.
$70,271 Vol.
May 6, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$70,271 Vol.
$70,271 Vol.
May 6, 2026
25°C or below
$1,033 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,023 Vol.
No
27°C
$672 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,122 Vol.
No
29°C
$8,852 Vol.
No
30°C
$6,111 Vol.
No
31°C
$12,075 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$11,032 Vol.
No
33°C
$10,047 Vol.
No
34°C
$11,377 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$6,928 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 31°C as Singapore's highest temperature on May 6, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting National Environment Agency (NEA) observational data from automated climate stations across the island. Despite NEA's April 30 fortnightly outlook forecasting daily maximums of 33–35°C amid inter-monsoon conditions, frequent afternoon thundery showers—totaling above-average rainfall—suppressed peak heating, capping the observed high at 31°C, consistent with May climatology where averages hover around 31°C but showers often limit extremes. Historical patterns show such convective activity routinely moderates tropical heat; official records, updated by the 10th, could confirm this, though revisions are rare absent measurement errors. A challenge would require overlooked station data exceeding 31°C before midnight, unlikely given evening cooling trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$70,271End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 31°C as Singapore's highest temperature on May 6, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting National Environment Agency (NEA) observational data from automated climate stations across the island. Despite NEA's April 30 fortnightly outlook forecasting daily maximums of 33–35°C amid inter-monsoon conditions, frequent afternoon thundery showers—totaling above-average rainfall—suppressed peak heating, capping the observed high at 31°C, consistent with May climatology where averages hover around 31°C but showers often limit extremes. Historical patterns show such convective activity routinely moderates tropical heat; official records, updated by the 10th, could confirm this, though revisions are rare absent measurement errors. A challenge would require overlooked station data exceeding 31°C before midnight, unlikely given evening cooling trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$70,271End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 31°C as Singapore's highest temperature on May 6, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting National Environment Agency (NEA) observational data from automated climate stations across the island. Despite NEA's April 30 fortnightly outlook forecasting daily maximums of 33–35°C amid inter-monsoon conditions, frequent afternoon thundery showers—totaling above-average rainfall—suppressed peak heating, capping the observed high at 31°C, consistent with May climatology where averages hover around 31°C but showers often limit extremes. Historical patterns show such convective activity routinely moderates tropical heat; official records, updated by the 10th, could confirm this, though revisions are rare absent measurement errors. A challenge would require overlooked station data exceeding 31°C before midnight, unlikely given evening cooling trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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