Recent short-range model guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and the ECMWF places Taipei's July 9 daytime maximum in the mid-to-upper 30s Celsius, with the 35°C and 36°C bins attracting the tightest trader consensus due to small differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and afternoon convection. Subtle steering flow variations or localized sea-breeze effects can shift the peak by 1°C, while urban heat-island amplification in the basin supports readings near the higher end of climatological norms (July averages ~33–34°C). Updated model runs through July 8 remain the key reprice catalyst before resolution, as any strengthening of diurnal thunderstorms or increased moisture could cap the high closer to 34°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on July 9?
Highest temperature in Taipei on July 9?
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$86,864 Vol.
$86,864 Vol.
Jul 9, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$86,864 Vol.
$86,864 Vol.
Jul 9, 2026
28°C or below
$4,164 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,188 Vol.
No
30°C
$9,006 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,075 Vol.
No
32°C
$3,814 Vol.
No
33°C
$6,796 Vol.
No
34°C
$11,103 Vol.
No
35°C
$14,349 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$9,005 Vol.
No
37°C
$11,407 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$9,956 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and the ECMWF places Taipei's July 9 daytime maximum in the mid-to-upper 30s Celsius, with the 35°C and 36°C bins attracting the tightest trader consensus due to small differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and afternoon convection. Subtle steering flow variations or localized sea-breeze effects can shift the peak by 1°C, while urban heat-island amplification in the basin supports readings near the higher end of climatological norms (July averages ~33–34°C). Updated model runs through July 8 remain the key reprice catalyst before resolution, as any strengthening of diurnal thunderstorms or increased moisture could cap the high closer to 34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$86,864End Date
Jul 9, 2026Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and the ECMWF places Taipei's July 9 daytime maximum in the mid-to-upper 30s Celsius, with the 35°C and 36°C bins attracting the tightest trader consensus due to small differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and afternoon convection. Subtle steering flow variations or localized sea-breeze effects can shift the peak by 1°C, while urban heat-island amplification in the basin supports readings near the higher end of climatological norms (July averages ~33–34°C). Updated model runs through July 8 remain the key reprice catalyst before resolution, as any strengthening of diurnal thunderstorms or increased moisture could cap the high closer to 34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$86,864End Date
Jul 9, 2026Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent short-range model guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and the ECMWF places Taipei's July 9 daytime maximum in the mid-to-upper 30s Celsius, with the 35°C and 36°C bins attracting the tightest trader consensus due to small differences in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and afternoon convection. Subtle steering flow variations or localized sea-breeze effects can shift the peak by 1°C, while urban heat-island amplification in the basin supports readings near the higher end of climatological norms (July averages ~33–34°C). Updated model runs through July 8 remain the key reprice catalyst before resolution, as any strengthening of diurnal thunderstorms or increased moisture could cap the high closer to 34°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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