Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models indicate a daily maximum of 29°C in Taipei today, with afternoon peaks limited by cloud cover, thundershowers, and typical June humidity. This consensus, backed by real-time observations and model agreement, drives the market's 100% implied probability on 29°C. Historical climatology for mid-June shows averages near 31°C, but recent atmospheric conditions including moisture and steering patterns have suppressed highs. Late-day measurements or minor urban heat effects could theoretically push readings to 30°C, though current data and resolution criteria make such shifts improbable before markets close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on June 13?
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$97,103 Vol.
$97,103 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$97,103 Vol.
$97,103 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 11, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models indicate a daily maximum of 29°C in Taipei today, with afternoon peaks limited by cloud cover, thundershowers, and typical June humidity. This consensus, backed by real-time observations and model agreement, drives the market's 100% implied probability on 29°C. Historical climatology for mid-June shows averages near 31°C, but recent atmospheric conditions including moisture and steering patterns have suppressed highs. Late-day measurements or minor urban heat effects could theoretically push readings to 30°C, though current data and resolution criteria make such shifts improbable before markets close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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