Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daily maximum of 34°C in Taipei today under partly cloudy skies with afternoon thundershowers, consistent with typical mid-June subtropical conditions featuring high humidity and limited cloud cover that favors strong solar heating. Model consensus and historical climatology for the season support temperatures reaching or exceeding this threshold, driving the market’s near-certain implied probability for 34°C or higher. Uncertainties such as heavier localized rainfall or shifts in steering patterns could modestly suppress the peak, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of falling below the threshold before evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on June 17?
Highest temperature in Taipei on June 17?
34°C or higher 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$89,648 Vol.
$89,648 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
Yes
34°C or higher 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$89,648 Vol.
$89,648 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
24°C or below
$3,352 Vol.
No
25°C
$362 Vol.
No
26°C
$980 Vol.
No
27°C
$5,156 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,071 Vol.
No
29°C
$15,632 Vol.
No
30°C
$8,280 Vol.
No
31°C
$10,984 Vol.
No
32°C
$9,268 Vol.
No
33°C
$9,906 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$21,657 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daily maximum of 34°C in Taipei today under partly cloudy skies with afternoon thundershowers, consistent with typical mid-June subtropical conditions featuring high humidity and limited cloud cover that favors strong solar heating. Model consensus and historical climatology for the season support temperatures reaching or exceeding this threshold, driving the market’s near-certain implied probability for 34°C or higher. Uncertainties such as heavier localized rainfall or shifts in steering patterns could modestly suppress the peak, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of falling below the threshold before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 15, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Volume
$89,648End Date
Jun 17, 2026Market Opened
Jun 15, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daily maximum of 34°C in Taipei today under partly cloudy skies with afternoon thundershowers, consistent with typical mid-June subtropical conditions featuring high humidity and limited cloud cover that favors strong solar heating. Model consensus and historical climatology for the season support temperatures reaching or exceeding this threshold, driving the market’s near-certain implied probability for 34°C or higher. Uncertainties such as heavier localized rainfall or shifts in steering patterns could modestly suppress the peak, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of falling below the threshold before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$89,648End Date
Jun 17, 2026Market Opened
Jun 15, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daily maximum of 34°C in Taipei today under partly cloudy skies with afternoon thundershowers, consistent with typical mid-June subtropical conditions featuring high humidity and limited cloud cover that favors strong solar heating. Model consensus and historical climatology for the season support temperatures reaching or exceeding this threshold, driving the market’s near-certain implied probability for 34°C or higher. Uncertainties such as heavier localized rainfall or shifts in steering patterns could modestly suppress the peak, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of falling below the threshold before evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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