The market's 100% implied probability on 28°C as Taipei's highest temperature for June 5 reflects the latest Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting that exact peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate northeast monsoon flow. Historical June climatology for northern Taiwan shows typical daily highs near 30°C, but current observational data and short-range guidance indicate suppressed convection and cloud cover limiting further warming. Minor model spread exists around boundary-layer moisture, yet no runs currently support deviation beyond the 28°C threshold. Resolution hinges on official hourly observations through midnight local time, with any unexpected frontal passage or enhanced solar heating as the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on June 5?
Highest temperature in Taipei on June 5?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$99,838 Vol.
$99,838 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$99,838 Vol.
$99,838 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
24°C or below
$3,382 Vol.
No
25°C
$9,705 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,372 Vol.
No
27°C
$5,942 Vol.
No
28°C
$34,527 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$8,787 Vol.
No
30°C
$9,490 Vol.
No
31°C
$6,479 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,699 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,939 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$8,516 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's 100% implied probability on 28°C as Taipei's highest temperature for June 5 reflects the latest Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting that exact peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate northeast monsoon flow. Historical June climatology for northern Taiwan shows typical daily highs near 30°C, but current observational data and short-range guidance indicate suppressed convection and cloud cover limiting further warming. Minor model spread exists around boundary-layer moisture, yet no runs currently support deviation beyond the 28°C threshold. Resolution hinges on official hourly observations through midnight local time, with any unexpected frontal passage or enhanced solar heating as the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$99,838End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's 100% implied probability on 28°C as Taipei's highest temperature for June 5 reflects the latest Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting that exact peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate northeast monsoon flow. Historical June climatology for northern Taiwan shows typical daily highs near 30°C, but current observational data and short-range guidance indicate suppressed convection and cloud cover limiting further warming. Minor model spread exists around boundary-layer moisture, yet no runs currently support deviation beyond the 28°C threshold. Resolution hinges on official hourly observations through midnight local time, with any unexpected frontal passage or enhanced solar heating as the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$99,838End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The market's 100% implied probability on 28°C as Taipei's highest temperature for June 5 reflects the latest Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs projecting that exact peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate northeast monsoon flow. Historical June climatology for northern Taiwan shows typical daily highs near 30°C, but current observational data and short-range guidance indicate suppressed convection and cloud cover limiting further warming. Minor model spread exists around boundary-layer moisture, yet no runs currently support deviation beyond the 28°C threshold. Resolution hinges on official hourly observations through midnight local time, with any unexpected frontal passage or enhanced solar heating as the primary scenarios that could alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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