Official Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations from Taipei's Songshan Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm a maximum temperature of 21°C on May 5, 2026, driving 100% trader consensus as real-time data through late evening shows no higher peaks. Persistent cloudy skies and occasional showers suppressed solar insolation and enhanced evaporative cooling, aligning precisely with pre-day forecasts of 18-22°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge and light northerly flow. Early May climatology typically features highs near 27°C, but today's subdued conditions reflect model consensus on overcast weather patterns. Realistic challenges are negligible, limited to improbable late data revisions, with final CWA validation expected soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on May 5?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 5?
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$59,556 Vol.
$59,556 Vol.
May 5, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$59,556 Vol.
$59,556 Vol.
May 5, 2026
16°C or below
$820 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,271 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,640 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,582 Vol.
No
20°C
$8,191 Vol.
No
21°C
$11,553 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$7,428 Vol.
No
23°C
$6,572 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,183 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,997 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$12,319 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations from Taipei's Songshan Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm a maximum temperature of 21°C on May 5, 2026, driving 100% trader consensus as real-time data through late evening shows no higher peaks. Persistent cloudy skies and occasional showers suppressed solar insolation and enhanced evaporative cooling, aligning precisely with pre-day forecasts of 18-22°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge and light northerly flow. Early May climatology typically features highs near 27°C, but today's subdued conditions reflect model consensus on overcast weather patterns. Realistic challenges are negligible, limited to improbable late data revisions, with final CWA validation expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$59,556End Date
May 5, 2026Market Opened
May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations from Taipei's Songshan Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm a maximum temperature of 21°C on May 5, 2026, driving 100% trader consensus as real-time data through late evening shows no higher peaks. Persistent cloudy skies and occasional showers suppressed solar insolation and enhanced evaporative cooling, aligning precisely with pre-day forecasts of 18-22°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge and light northerly flow. Early May climatology typically features highs near 27°C, but today's subdued conditions reflect model consensus on overcast weather patterns. Realistic challenges are negligible, limited to improbable late data revisions, with final CWA validation expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$59,556End Date
May 5, 2026Market Opened
May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations from Taipei's Songshan Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm a maximum temperature of 21°C on May 5, 2026, driving 100% trader consensus as real-time data through late evening shows no higher peaks. Persistent cloudy skies and occasional showers suppressed solar insolation and enhanced evaporative cooling, aligning precisely with pre-day forecasts of 18-22°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge and light northerly flow. Early May climatology typically features highs near 27°C, but today's subdued conditions reflect model consensus on overcast weather patterns. Realistic challenges are negligible, limited to improbable late data revisions, with final CWA validation expected soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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