Official observations from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) time series at Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG), the authoritative resolution source, confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 25 reached 28°C around early afternoon under mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds and low humidity. This aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service, which predicted mild spring conditions amid a stable high-pressure system suppressing extremes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified measurement data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on the outcome. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration issues or discrepancies across nearby stations, though historical reliability of LLBG records exceeds 99%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 25?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$70,914 Vol.
$70,914 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$70,914 Vol.
$70,914 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) time series at Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG), the authoritative resolution source, confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 25 reached 28°C around early afternoon under mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds and low humidity. This aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service, which predicted mild spring conditions amid a stable high-pressure system suppressing extremes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified measurement data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on the outcome. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration issues or discrepancies across nearby stations, though historical reliability of LLBG records exceeds 99%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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