Finalized observational data from NOAA at Ben Gurion International Airport—the official station for this market—confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature reached 23°C on April 27, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability. This outcome reflects a sharp cool-down from the prior day's 27°C high, induced by a low-pressure system ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and isolated showers, as reported by the Israel Meteorological Service. Global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS had converged on a 22–24°C range, incorporating moderating sea breeze influences typical for coastal eastern Mediterranean locales in late April. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, anticipates swift resolution via NOAA's timeseries archive, with negligible risk from post-finalization revisions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 27?
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$59,057 Vol.
$59,057 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$59,057 Vol.
$59,057 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 25, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Finalized observational data from NOAA at Ben Gurion International Airport—the official station for this market—confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature reached 23°C on April 27, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability. This outcome reflects a sharp cool-down from the prior day's 27°C high, induced by a low-pressure system ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and isolated showers, as reported by the Israel Meteorological Service. Global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS had converged on a 22–24°C range, incorporating moderating sea breeze influences typical for coastal eastern Mediterranean locales in late April. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, anticipates swift resolution via NOAA's timeseries archive, with negligible risk from post-finalization revisions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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