Current forecasts from meteorological models place Tel Aviv's maximum temperature near 30°C on June 17 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northwesterly winds typical of early summer Mediterranean patterns. Official guidance and ensemble runs align closely with climatological baselines of 29–31°C for mid-June, supporting the market-implied certainty at that threshold. Minor deviations remain possible if unexpected marine layer stratus develops or if localized sea-breeze timing alters peak heating by 1–2°C at the official measurement site.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 17?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$40,312 Vol.
$40,312 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$40,312 Vol.
$40,312 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecasts from meteorological models place Tel Aviv's maximum temperature near 30°C on June 17 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northwesterly winds typical of early summer Mediterranean patterns. Official guidance and ensemble runs align closely with climatological baselines of 29–31°C for mid-June, supporting the market-implied certainty at that threshold. Minor deviations remain possible if unexpected marine layer stratus develops or if localized sea-breeze timing alters peak heating by 1–2°C at the official measurement site.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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