Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport—the market's authoritative resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached exactly 9°C, as recorded in standard METAR reports amid persistent northerly airflow, overcast conditions, and limited solar heating. This aligns with Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) preliminary data, showing daytime peaks around midday before cooling under cloudy skies, well below the April climatological average of 13–15°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified measurement, backed by real-money positions. Realistic challenges would require a rare official revision from IMGW final summaries, such as an overlooked urban heat outlier, though airport instrumentation ensures high reliability; expect confirmation in daily climate bulletins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 29?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 29?
9°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$124,378 Vol.
$124,378 Vol.
Apr 29, 2026
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
9°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$124,378 Vol.
$124,378 Vol.
Apr 29, 2026
5°C or below
$375 Vol.
No
6°C
$3,630 Vol.
No
7°C
$4,466 Vol.
No
8°C
$32,169 Vol.
No
9°C
$22,600 Vol.
Yes
10°C
$16,537 Vol.
No
11°C
$15,258 Vol.
No
12°C
$8,612 Vol.
No
13°C
$6,885 Vol.
No
14°C
$5,367 Vol.
No
15°C or higher
$8,479 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport—the market's authoritative resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached exactly 9°C, as recorded in standard METAR reports amid persistent northerly airflow, overcast conditions, and limited solar heating. This aligns with Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) preliminary data, showing daytime peaks around midday before cooling under cloudy skies, well below the April climatological average of 13–15°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified measurement, backed by real-money positions. Realistic challenges would require a rare official revision from IMGW final summaries, such as an overlooked urban heat outlier, though airport instrumentation ensures high reliability; expect confirmation in daily climate bulletins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volume
$124,378End Date
Apr 29, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport—the market's authoritative resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached exactly 9°C, as recorded in standard METAR reports amid persistent northerly airflow, overcast conditions, and limited solar heating. This aligns with Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) preliminary data, showing daytime peaks around midday before cooling under cloudy skies, well below the April climatological average of 13–15°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified measurement, backed by real-money positions. Realistic challenges would require a rare official revision from IMGW final summaries, such as an overlooked urban heat outlier, though airport instrumentation ensures high reliability; expect confirmation in daily climate bulletins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$124,378End Date
Apr 29, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport—the market's authoritative resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached exactly 9°C, as recorded in standard METAR reports amid persistent northerly airflow, overcast conditions, and limited solar heating. This aligns with Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) preliminary data, showing daytime peaks around midday before cooling under cloudy skies, well below the April climatological average of 13–15°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified measurement, backed by real-money positions. Realistic challenges would require a rare official revision from IMGW final summaries, such as an overlooked urban heat outlier, though airport instrumentation ensures high reliability; expect confirmation in daily climate bulletins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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