**Trader consensus has coalesced around an 18°C high in Warsaw today because real-time observations from the Chopin Airport station, the market’s official resolution source, show afternoon temperatures peaking at that level under mostly sunny conditions with moderate westerly winds.** National weather services and forecast models aligned on a daily maximum near 18°C (64–65°F), consistent with seasonal June averages of 21–22°C but tempered by a cooler air mass and light cloud cover that prevented further warming. With the peak already recorded in late afternoon and evening readings falling, the probability of exceeding 18°C or falling short has diminished sharply. Only an unexpected late-day spike from unforecasted insolation or a station measurement revision could alter the outcome at this stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 16?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 16?
18°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$41,684 Vol.
$41,684 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$41,684 Vol.
$41,684 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
15°C or below
$754 Vol.
No
16°C
$478 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,563 Vol.
No
18°C
$10,302 Vol.
Yes
19°C
$6,437 Vol.
No
20°C
$4,364 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,746 Vol.
No
22°C
$4,192 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,594 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,857 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$2,397 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced around an 18°C high in Warsaw today because real-time observations from the Chopin Airport station, the market’s official resolution source, show afternoon temperatures peaking at that level under mostly sunny conditions with moderate westerly winds.**
National weather services and forecast models aligned on a daily maximum near 18°C (64–65°F), consistent with seasonal June averages of 21–22°C but tempered by a cooler air mass and light cloud cover that prevented further warming. With the peak already recorded in late afternoon and evening readings falling, the probability of exceeding 18°C or falling short has diminished sharply. Only an unexpected late-day spike from unforecasted insolation or a station measurement revision could alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$41,684End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced around an 18°C high in Warsaw today because real-time observations from the Chopin Airport station, the market’s official resolution source, show afternoon temperatures peaking at that level under mostly sunny conditions with moderate westerly winds.**
National weather services and forecast models aligned on a daily maximum near 18°C (64–65°F), consistent with seasonal June averages of 21–22°C but tempered by a cooler air mass and light cloud cover that prevented further warming. With the peak already recorded in late afternoon and evening readings falling, the probability of exceeding 18°C or falling short has diminished sharply. Only an unexpected late-day spike from unforecasted insolation or a station measurement revision could alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,684End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader consensus has coalesced around an 18°C high in Warsaw today because real-time observations from the Chopin Airport station, the market’s official resolution source, show afternoon temperatures peaking at that level under mostly sunny conditions with moderate westerly winds.** National weather services and forecast models aligned on a daily maximum near 18°C (64–65°F), consistent with seasonal June averages of 21–22°C but tempered by a cooler air mass and light cloud cover that prevented further warming. With the peak already recorded in late afternoon and evening readings falling, the probability of exceeding 18°C or falling short has diminished sharply. Only an unexpected late-day spike from unforecasted insolation or a station measurement revision could alter the outcome at this stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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