Recent forecast model runs for Warsaw on September 1 indicate daytime maxima clustered in the low 20s °C, with ensembles showing highs near 20–23 °C under partly cloudy skies, westerly flow, and a 30–50 % chance of scattered showers. These conditions—particularly the timing and intensity of any precipitation and the extent of afternoon cloud cover—drive the close market split between 21 °C and 22 °C as leading outcomes. Westerly winds and modest humidity support modest mixing that caps extreme warmth, while historical early-September climatology for the region centers near 21–22 °C. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 1?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 1?
22°C 39%
21°C 35%
20°C 30%
23°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
11%
20°C
30%
21°C
35%
22°C
39%
23°C
19%
24°C
6%
25°C
4%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 39%
21°C 35%
20°C 30%
23°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
3%
19°C
$0 Vol.
11%
20°C
$20 Vol.
30%
21°C
$143 Vol.
35%
22°C
$1,193 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$0 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Warsaw on September 1 indicate daytime maxima clustered in the low 20s °C, with ensembles showing highs near 20–23 °C under partly cloudy skies, westerly flow, and a 30–50 % chance of scattered showers. These conditions—particularly the timing and intensity of any precipitation and the extent of afternoon cloud cover—drive the close market split between 21 °C and 22 °C as leading outcomes. Westerly winds and modest humidity support modest mixing that caps extreme warmth, while historical early-September climatology for the region centers near 21–22 °C. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,355End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Warsaw on September 1 indicate daytime maxima clustered in the low 20s °C, with ensembles showing highs near 20–23 °C under partly cloudy skies, westerly flow, and a 30–50 % chance of scattered showers. These conditions—particularly the timing and intensity of any precipitation and the extent of afternoon cloud cover—drive the close market split between 21 °C and 22 °C as leading outcomes. Westerly winds and modest humidity support modest mixing that caps extreme warmth, while historical early-September climatology for the region centers near 21–22 °C. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,355End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs for Warsaw on September 1 indicate daytime maxima clustered in the low 20s °C, with ensembles showing highs near 20–23 °C under partly cloudy skies, westerly flow, and a 30–50 % chance of scattered showers. These conditions—particularly the timing and intensity of any precipitation and the extent of afternoon cloud cover—drive the close market split between 21 °C and 22 °C as leading outcomes. Westerly winds and modest humidity support modest mixing that caps extreme warmth, while historical early-September climatology for the region centers near 21–22 °C. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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