The market-implied consensus at 32°C stems directly from official meteorological forecasts issued on June 1, including the China Weather report projecting a daytime maximum of exactly 32°C under cloudy conditions with minimums near 21°C. This aligns with early June climatology in Wuhan, where seasonal warming typically produces average highs around 31°C amid subtropical high pressure and light westerly winds that limit convective enhancement. International models, including those from the UK Met Office, converge on the same threshold without significant spread. Only rapid afternoon clearing or unforecasted thunderstorm development could push readings higher, while persistent cloud cover or earlier rain would cap the peak below the expected mark.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 1?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 1?
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$51,628 Vol.
$51,628 Vol.
Jun 1, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$51,628 Vol.
$51,628 Vol.
Jun 1, 2026
28°C or below
$2,596 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,956 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,919 Vol.
No
31°C
$8,120 Vol.
No
32°C
$8,664 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$6,082 Vol.
No
34°C
$4,971 Vol.
No
35°C
$6,582 Vol.
No
36°C
$3,366 Vol.
No
37°C
$2,823 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$2,549 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied consensus at 32°C stems directly from official meteorological forecasts issued on June 1, including the China Weather report projecting a daytime maximum of exactly 32°C under cloudy conditions with minimums near 21°C. This aligns with early June climatology in Wuhan, where seasonal warming typically produces average highs around 31°C amid subtropical high pressure and light westerly winds that limit convective enhancement. International models, including those from the UK Met Office, converge on the same threshold without significant spread. Only rapid afternoon clearing or unforecasted thunderstorm development could push readings higher, while persistent cloud cover or earlier rain would cap the peak below the expected mark.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 30, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$51,628End Date
Jun 1, 2026Market Opened
May 30, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied consensus at 32°C stems directly from official meteorological forecasts issued on June 1, including the China Weather report projecting a daytime maximum of exactly 32°C under cloudy conditions with minimums near 21°C. This aligns with early June climatology in Wuhan, where seasonal warming typically produces average highs around 31°C amid subtropical high pressure and light westerly winds that limit convective enhancement. International models, including those from the UK Met Office, converge on the same threshold without significant spread. Only rapid afternoon clearing or unforecasted thunderstorm development could push readings higher, while persistent cloud cover or earlier rain would cap the peak below the expected mark.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$51,628End Date
Jun 1, 2026Market Opened
May 30, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The market-implied consensus at 32°C stems directly from official meteorological forecasts issued on June 1, including the China Weather report projecting a daytime maximum of exactly 32°C under cloudy conditions with minimums near 21°C. This aligns with early June climatology in Wuhan, where seasonal warming typically produces average highs around 31°C amid subtropical high pressure and light westerly winds that limit convective enhancement. International models, including those from the UK Met Office, converge on the same threshold without significant spread. Only rapid afternoon clearing or unforecasted thunderstorm development could push readings higher, while persistent cloud cover or earlier rain would cap the peak below the expected mark.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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