Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a 24°C daytime maximum for Wuhan on June 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light winds, and limited solar heating during the early summer transition. This strong consensus underpins the market's 99.8% implied probability for 24°C, reflecting traders' confidence in official station measurements from the Wuhan region. Recent model runs show minimal variability, consistent with first-half June climatology where highs often range 19–28°C before seasonal warming accelerates. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift such as rapid clearing or stronger advection, though ensemble guidance indicates low likelihood before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 13?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 13?
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$54,366 Vol.
$54,366 Vol.
Jun 13, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$54,366 Vol.
$54,366 Vol.
Jun 13, 2026
19°C or below
$5,557 Vol.
No
20°C
$409 Vol.
No
21°C
$410 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,447 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,386 Vol.
No
24°C
$13,494 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$6,648 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,847 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,598 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,966 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$9,604 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a 24°C daytime maximum for Wuhan on June 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light winds, and limited solar heating during the early summer transition. This strong consensus underpins the market's 99.8% implied probability for 24°C, reflecting traders' confidence in official station measurements from the Wuhan region. Recent model runs show minimal variability, consistent with first-half June climatology where highs often range 19–28°C before seasonal warming accelerates. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift such as rapid clearing or stronger advection, though ensemble guidance indicates low likelihood before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volume
$54,366End Date
Jun 13, 2026Market Opened
Jun 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a 24°C daytime maximum for Wuhan on June 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light winds, and limited solar heating during the early summer transition. This strong consensus underpins the market's 99.8% implied probability for 24°C, reflecting traders' confidence in official station measurements from the Wuhan region. Recent model runs show minimal variability, consistent with first-half June climatology where highs often range 19–28°C before seasonal warming accelerates. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift such as rapid clearing or stronger advection, though ensemble guidance indicates low likelihood before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$54,366End Date
Jun 13, 2026Market Opened
Jun 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a 24°C daytime maximum for Wuhan on June 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light winds, and limited solar heating during the early summer transition. This strong consensus underpins the market's 99.8% implied probability for 24°C, reflecting traders' confidence in official station measurements from the Wuhan region. Recent model runs show minimal variability, consistent with first-half June climatology where highs often range 19–28°C before seasonal warming accelerates. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift such as rapid clearing or stronger advection, though ensemble guidance indicates low likelihood before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions