**Persistent heavy rainfall, extensive cloud cover, and flash-flood conditions across Zhengzhou are keeping maximum temperatures suppressed near 25°C today.** Official forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models (AccuWeather, Time and Date) consistently project an overcast day with widespread rain and northeast winds, limiting solar heating and producing highs in the 23–25°C range under high humidity near 90–97%. This aligns with the market’s 97% implied probability for 25°C, reflecting traders’ confidence in the consensus forecast data. Historical August averages for Zhengzhou hover around 30–31°C, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by a stalled frontal system—deviates sharply downward. The outcome could shift only if an unexpected rapid clearing of clouds occurs before peak heating or if observational data revisions push the verified high above the threshold, though model agreement and ongoing precipitation make such scenarios improbable before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 12?
25°C 97%
26°C 1.0%
29°C <1%
27°C <1%
$11,981 Vol.
$11,981 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
97%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 97%
26°C 1.0%
29°C <1%
27°C <1%
$11,981 Vol.
$11,981 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
97%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent heavy rainfall, extensive cloud cover, and flash-flood conditions across Zhengzhou are keeping maximum temperatures suppressed near 25°C today.** Official forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models (AccuWeather, Time and Date) consistently project an overcast day with widespread rain and northeast winds, limiting solar heating and producing highs in the 23–25°C range under high humidity near 90–97%. This aligns with the market’s 97% implied probability for 25°C, reflecting traders’ confidence in the consensus forecast data. Historical August averages for Zhengzhou hover around 30–31°C, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by a stalled frontal system—deviates sharply downward. The outcome could shift only if an unexpected rapid clearing of clouds occurs before peak heating or if observational data revisions push the verified high above the threshold, though model agreement and ongoing precipitation make such scenarios improbable before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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