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Economy·Jobs Report

How many jobs added in April?

icon for How many jobs added in April?
Economy·Jobs Report

How many jobs added in April?

Ended: May 8

Aug 7

Ended: May 8

Aug 7

100k – 150k 100.0%

<-50k <1%

-50k – 0 <1%

0 – 50k <1%

Polymarket

$27,888 Vol.

100k – 150k 100.0%

<-50k <1%

-50k – 0 <1%

0 – 50k <1%

Polymarket

$27,888 Vol.

<-50k

$6,302 Vol.

No

-50k – 0

$3,074 Vol.

No

0 – 50k

$3,904 Vol.

No

50k – 100k

$1,392 Vol.

No

100k – 150k

$3,483 Vol.

Yes

150k – 200k

$3,473 Vol.

No

200k – 250k

$2,175 Vol.

No

250k+

$4,084 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for April 2026, scheduled to be released on May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmTrader sentiment on Polymarket's April nonfarm payrolls market prices subdued job growth, with 50k–100k jobs added holding a 41.5% implied probability ahead of 0–50k at 33%, reflecting closely contested dynamics amid mixed labor indicators. Yesterday's ADP National Employment Report revealed 109,000 private payroll additions—beating lowered expectations but decelerating sharply from March's 178,000 BLS print—while ISM manufacturing (46.4%) and services (48%) employment indices signal contraction. Jobless claims ticked up to 200,000 for the week ending May 2, underscoring softening momentum despite consensus forecasts around 62,000–65,000 headline gains. Key swing factors include prior-month revisions and household survey details ahead of today's 8:30 ET BLS release.

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for April 2026, scheduled to be released on May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Volume
$27,888
End Date
May 8, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 6:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for April 2026, scheduled to be released on May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for April 2026, scheduled to be released on May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmTrader sentiment on Polymarket's April nonfarm payrolls market prices subdued job growth, with 50k–100k jobs added holding a 41.5% implied probability ahead of 0–50k at 33%, reflecting closely contested dynamics amid mixed labor indicators. Yesterday's ADP National Employment Report revealed 109,000 private payroll additions—beating lowered expectations but decelerating sharply from March's 178,000 BLS print—while ISM manufacturing (46.4%) and services (48%) employment indices signal contraction. Jobless claims ticked up to 200,000 for the week ending May 2, underscoring softening momentum despite consensus forecasts around 62,000–65,000 headline gains. Key swing factors include prior-month revisions and household survey details ahead of today's 8:30 ET BLS release.

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for April 2026, scheduled to be released on May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Volume
$27,888
End Date
May 8, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 6:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for April 2026, scheduled to be released on May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"How many jobs added in April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "100k – 150k" at 100%, followed by "<-50k" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many jobs added in April?" has generated $27.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many jobs added in April?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many jobs added in April?" is "100k – 150k" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<-50k" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many jobs added in April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.