Reserve Bank of India projections anchor trader sentiment for India's 2026 annual inflation, with the central bank forecasting 4.6% CPI for fiscal 2026-27 after upward revisions tied to elevated energy prices and Middle East geopolitical risks. Recent April 2026 data printed at 3.48%, modestly higher than March, while broader commodity pressures and a weaker rupee have prompted analysts including Goldman Sachs to lift estimates toward 4.6%. The implied probability above 4.5% reflects market pricing of these supply-side factors against the RBI's 2-6% target band, with limited scope for downside surprises absent a rapid de-escalation in global oil markets. Upcoming monetary policy updates and monsoon outcomes remain key variables that could refine the path.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado4,50%+ 92%
3,75% a 4,49% 16.0%
<0,75% 4.0%
1,50% a 2,24% 2.9%
$61,339 Vol.
$61,339 Vol.
12 ene 2027
<0,75%
4%
0,75% a 1,49%
1%
1,50% a 2,24%
3%
2.25% a 2.99%
2%
3,00% a 3,74%
<1%
3,75% a 4,49%
11%
4,50%+
86%
4,50%+ 92%
3,75% a 4,49% 16.0%
<0,75% 4.0%
1,50% a 2,24% 2.9%
$61,339 Vol.
$61,339 Vol.
12 ene 2027
<0,75%
$836 Vol.
4%
0,75% a 1,49%
$555 Vol.
1%
1,50% a 2,24%
$445 Vol.
3%
2.25% a 2.99%
$24,059 Vol.
2%
3,00% a 3,74%
$637 Vol.
<1%
3,75% a 4,49%
$23,402 Vol.
11%
4,50%+
$11,404 Vol.
86%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfReserve Bank of India projections anchor trader sentiment for India's 2026 annual inflation, with the central bank forecasting 4.6% CPI for fiscal 2026-27 after upward revisions tied to elevated energy prices and Middle East geopolitical risks. Recent April 2026 data printed at 3.48%, modestly higher than March, while broader commodity pressures and a weaker rupee have prompted analysts including Goldman Sachs to lift estimates toward 4.6%. The implied probability above 4.5% reflects market pricing of these supply-side factors against the RBI's 2-6% target band, with limited scope for downside surprises absent a rapid de-escalation in global oil markets. Upcoming monetary policy updates and monsoon outcomes remain key variables that could refine the path.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Mercado abierto: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Volumen
$61,339Fecha de finalización
12 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfReserve Bank of India projections anchor trader sentiment for India's 2026 annual inflation, with the central bank forecasting 4.6% CPI for fiscal 2026-27 after upward revisions tied to elevated energy prices and Middle East geopolitical risks. Recent April 2026 data printed at 3.48%, modestly higher than March, while broader commodity pressures and a weaker rupee have prompted analysts including Goldman Sachs to lift estimates toward 4.6%. The implied probability above 4.5% reflects market pricing of these supply-side factors against the RBI's 2-6% target band, with limited scope for downside surprises absent a rapid de-escalation in global oil markets. Upcoming monetary policy updates and monsoon outcomes remain key variables that could refine the path.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Volumen
$61,339Fecha de finalización
12 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Reserve Bank of India projections anchor trader sentiment for India's 2026 annual inflation, with the central bank forecasting 4.6% CPI for fiscal 2026-27 after upward revisions tied to elevated energy prices and Middle East geopolitical risks. Recent April 2026 data printed at 3.48%, modestly higher than March, while broader commodity pressures and a weaker rupee have prompted analysts including Goldman Sachs to lift estimates toward 4.6%. The implied probability above 4.5% reflects market pricing of these supply-side factors against the RBI's 2-6% target band, with limited scope for downside surprises absent a rapid de-escalation in global oil markets. Upcoming monetary policy updates and monsoon outcomes remain key variables that could refine the path.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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