The Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition maintains a stable majority in the Lok Sabha, securing Prime Minister Narendra Modi's position through his third term ending in 2029, which underpins trader consensus at 90% against an early exit. Recent state assembly elections in Assam, Kerala, Puducherry, Tamil Nadu, and West Bengal—ongoing as of late April with high turnout in early phases—test BJP popularity at the regional level but pose no immediate threat to the national government via no-confidence votes or ally defections. Opposition predictions, such as Arvind Kejriwal's March claim of a pre-2027 departure, remain unsubstantiated partisan rhetoric amid fact-checked denials of retirement rumors. While coalition strains or health events could shift odds, no such catalysts have emerged in the past month.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
$24,900 Vol.
$24,900 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$24,900 Vol.
$24,900 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition maintains a stable majority in the Lok Sabha, securing Prime Minister Narendra Modi's position through his third term ending in 2029, which underpins trader consensus at 90% against an early exit. Recent state assembly elections in Assam, Kerala, Puducherry, Tamil Nadu, and West Bengal—ongoing as of late April with high turnout in early phases—test BJP popularity at the regional level but pose no immediate threat to the national government via no-confidence votes or ally defections. Opposition predictions, such as Arvind Kejriwal's March claim of a pre-2027 departure, remain unsubstantiated partisan rhetoric amid fact-checked denials of retirement rumors. While coalition strains or health events could shift odds, no such catalysts have emerged in the past month.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$24,900End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition maintains a stable majority in the Lok Sabha, securing Prime Minister Narendra Modi's position through his third term ending in 2029, which underpins trader consensus at 90% against an early exit. Recent state assembly elections in Assam, Kerala, Puducherry, Tamil Nadu, and West Bengal—ongoing as of late April with high turnout in early phases—test BJP popularity at the regional level but pose no immediate threat to the national government via no-confidence votes or ally defections. Opposition predictions, such as Arvind Kejriwal's March claim of a pre-2027 departure, remain unsubstantiated partisan rhetoric amid fact-checked denials of retirement rumors. While coalition strains or health events could shift odds, no such catalysts have emerged in the past month.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$24,900End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition maintains a stable majority in the Lok Sabha, securing Prime Minister Narendra Modi's position through his third term ending in 2029, which underpins trader consensus at 90% against an early exit. Recent state assembly elections in Assam, Kerala, Puducherry, Tamil Nadu, and West Bengal—ongoing as of late April with high turnout in early phases—test BJP popularity at the regional level but pose no immediate threat to the national government via no-confidence votes or ally defections. Opposition predictions, such as Arvind Kejriwal's March claim of a pre-2027 departure, remain unsubstantiated partisan rhetoric amid fact-checked denials of retirement rumors. While coalition strains or health events could shift odds, no such catalysts have emerged in the past month.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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