**Narendra Modi’s position as Prime Minister remains secure through the end of 2026, with the NDA coalition maintaining a working majority in the Lok Sabha and no scheduled national elections until 2029.** Recent parliamentary developments, including the adjourned Monsoon Session and ongoing efforts to build support for a delimitation-linked constitutional amendment, show the government actively managing its legislative agenda rather than facing existential threats. Defections from opposition parties have bolstered NDA numbers, while cabinet reshuffles and organizational changes within the BJP are explicitly framed around preparing for the next general election cycle. Public polling continues to rank Modi as the preferred prime minister by a wide margin, even amid modest dips in approval tied to economic concerns such as inflation and unemployment. International engagements, including the recent BRICS summit and domestic economic initiatives like semiconductor policy expansion, underscore continuity in governance. No viable no-confidence motion, mass defections, or institutional mechanisms have emerged that could force a leadership change before year-end, supporting the strong trader consensus against an early exit.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedModi out by December 31, 2026?
$252,446 Vol.
$252,446 Vol.
$252,446 Vol.
$252,446 Vol.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Narendra Modi’s position as Prime Minister remains secure through the end of 2026, with the NDA coalition maintaining a working majority in the Lok Sabha and no scheduled national elections until 2029.** Recent parliamentary developments, including the adjourned Monsoon Session and ongoing efforts to build support for a delimitation-linked constitutional amendment, show the government actively managing its legislative agenda rather than facing existential threats. Defections from opposition parties have bolstered NDA numbers, while cabinet reshuffles and organizational changes within the BJP are explicitly framed around preparing for the next general election cycle. Public polling continues to rank Modi as the preferred prime minister by a wide margin, even amid modest dips in approval tied to economic concerns such as inflation and unemployment. International engagements, including the recent BRICS summit and domestic economic initiatives like semiconductor policy expansion, underscore continuity in governance. No viable no-confidence motion, mass defections, or institutional mechanisms have emerged that could force a leadership change before year-end, supporting the strong trader consensus against an early exit.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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