Trader consensus heavily favors Prime Minister Narendra Modi remaining in office through December 2026, reflecting the BJP-led NDA coalition's firm Lok Sabha majority secured in the 2024 general election, with the next national polls not due until 2029. No snap election calls, no-confidence motions, or coalition fractures have emerged, as opposition parties lack the numbers for a floor vote. Recent opposition rhetoric—such as TMC leaders' demands for Modi's resignation amid West Bengal's ongoing 2026 assembly elections—stems from state-level campaigning rather than national instability, underscored by Modi's vigorous rallies promising jobs and development in battlegrounds like Assam and Kerala. Absent health crises, major scandals, or alliance breakdowns, structural factors sustain this positioning ahead of state poll results.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
$24,942 Vol.
$24,942 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$24,942 Vol.
$24,942 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Prime Minister Narendra Modi remaining in office through December 2026, reflecting the BJP-led NDA coalition's firm Lok Sabha majority secured in the 2024 general election, with the next national polls not due until 2029. No snap election calls, no-confidence motions, or coalition fractures have emerged, as opposition parties lack the numbers for a floor vote. Recent opposition rhetoric—such as TMC leaders' demands for Modi's resignation amid West Bengal's ongoing 2026 assembly elections—stems from state-level campaigning rather than national instability, underscored by Modi's vigorous rallies promising jobs and development in battlegrounds like Assam and Kerala. Absent health crises, major scandals, or alliance breakdowns, structural factors sustain this positioning ahead of state poll results.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$24,942End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Prime Minister Narendra Modi remaining in office through December 2026, reflecting the BJP-led NDA coalition's firm Lok Sabha majority secured in the 2024 general election, with the next national polls not due until 2029. No snap election calls, no-confidence motions, or coalition fractures have emerged, as opposition parties lack the numbers for a floor vote. Recent opposition rhetoric—such as TMC leaders' demands for Modi's resignation amid West Bengal's ongoing 2026 assembly elections—stems from state-level campaigning rather than national instability, underscored by Modi's vigorous rallies promising jobs and development in battlegrounds like Assam and Kerala. Absent health crises, major scandals, or alliance breakdowns, structural factors sustain this positioning ahead of state poll results.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$24,942End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors Prime Minister Narendra Modi remaining in office through December 2026, reflecting the BJP-led NDA coalition's firm Lok Sabha majority secured in the 2024 general election, with the next national polls not due until 2029. No snap election calls, no-confidence motions, or coalition fractures have emerged, as opposition parties lack the numbers for a floor vote. Recent opposition rhetoric—such as TMC leaders' demands for Modi's resignation amid West Bengal's ongoing 2026 assembly elections—stems from state-level campaigning rather than national instability, underscored by Modi's vigorous rallies promising jobs and development in battlegrounds like Assam and Kerala. Absent health crises, major scandals, or alliance breakdowns, structural factors sustain this positioning ahead of state poll results.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions