China’s consumer price index held steady at 1.2% year-over-year in May 2026, aligning closely with the 1.1–1.5% band that commands 52% market-implied probability. Persistent weakness in food prices, particularly a sharp drop in pork, has offset upward pressure on non-food components from elevated energy and transport costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions, as reflected in the producer price index surging to a nearly four-year high of 3.9%. Core inflation remains subdued near 1.1%, underscoring soft domestic demand despite monetary easing efforts. Traders appear to price limited near-term acceleration ahead of further data releases and policy signals through year-end.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateChina Annual Inflation 2026
China Annual Inflation 2026
1.1 – 1.5% 56%
0.6 – 1.0% 21%
1.6 – 2.0% 9.3%
2.5%+ 6.6%
$44,388 Vol.
$44,388 Vol.
Jan 10, 2027
<-1.0%
21%
-0.9 – -0.5%
5%
-0.4 – 0.0%
3%
0.1 – 0.5%
5%
0.6 – 1.0%
21%
1.1 – 1.5%
51%
1.6 – 2.0%
9%
2.0-2.4%
4%
2.5%+
7%
1.1 – 1.5% 56%
0.6 – 1.0% 21%
1.6 – 2.0% 9.3%
2.5%+ 6.6%
$44,388 Vol.
$44,388 Vol.
Jan 10, 2027
<-1.0%
$18,711 Vol.
21%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$2,725 Vol.
5%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$3,759 Vol.
3%
0.1 – 0.5%
$2,914 Vol.
5%
0.6 – 1.0%
$3,018 Vol.
21%
1.1 – 1.5%
$3,694 Vol.
51%
1.6 – 2.0%
$4,042 Vol.
9%
2.0-2.4%
$2,880 Vol.
4%
2.5%+
$2,645 Vol.
7%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s consumer price index held steady at 1.2% year-over-year in May 2026, aligning closely with the 1.1–1.5% band that commands 52% market-implied probability. Persistent weakness in food prices, particularly a sharp drop in pork, has offset upward pressure on non-food components from elevated energy and transport costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions, as reflected in the producer price index surging to a nearly four-year high of 3.9%. Core inflation remains subdued near 1.1%, underscoring soft domestic demand despite monetary easing efforts. Traders appear to price limited near-term acceleration ahead of further data releases and policy signals through year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volume
$44,388Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 10, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s consumer price index held steady at 1.2% year-over-year in May 2026, aligning closely with the 1.1–1.5% band that commands 52% market-implied probability. Persistent weakness in food prices, particularly a sharp drop in pork, has offset upward pressure on non-food components from elevated energy and transport costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions, as reflected in the producer price index surging to a nearly four-year high of 3.9%. Core inflation remains subdued near 1.1%, underscoring soft domestic demand despite monetary easing efforts. Traders appear to price limited near-term acceleration ahead of further data releases and policy signals through year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$44,388Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 10, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...China’s consumer price index held steady at 1.2% year-over-year in May 2026, aligning closely with the 1.1–1.5% band that commands 52% market-implied probability. Persistent weakness in food prices, particularly a sharp drop in pork, has offset upward pressure on non-food components from elevated energy and transport costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions, as reflected in the producer price index surging to a nearly four-year high of 3.9%. Core inflation remains subdued near 1.1%, underscoring soft domestic demand despite monetary easing efforts. Traders appear to price limited near-term acceleration ahead of further data releases and policy signals through year-end.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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