China’s 2026 annual CPI inflation is trading with the 0.6–1.0% range as the clear leader because recent monthly prints have remained subdued. July data showed headline inflation falling to 0.5% year-on-year—the lowest since January—driven by declining food prices and slower non-food gains amid weak domestic demand and a prolonged property-sector slump. Earlier 2026 readings hovered between 1.0% and 1.3%, with producer-price pressures easing in July after earlier spikes tied to commodity costs. Traders appear to view persistent consumption softness and limited policy stimulus impact as likely to keep full-year average inflation near the lower end of the historical range unless stronger fiscal or credit measures lift demand before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedChina Annual Inflation 2026
China Annual Inflation 2026
0.6 – 1.0% 43%
1.1 – 1.5% 22%
0.1 – 0.5% 18.1%
1.6 – 2.0% 8.3%
$71,804 Vol.
$71,804 Vol.
Jan 10, 2027
<-1.0%
5%
-0.9 – -0.5%
1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
18%
0.6 – 1.0%
43%
1.1 – 1.5%
22%
1.6 – 2.0%
8%
2.0-2.4%
6%
2.5%+
<1%
0.6 – 1.0% 43%
1.1 – 1.5% 22%
0.1 – 0.5% 18.1%
1.6 – 2.0% 8.3%
$71,804 Vol.
$71,804 Vol.
Jan 10, 2027
<-1.0%
$19,709 Vol.
5%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$3,327 Vol.
1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$4,597 Vol.
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
$4,841 Vol.
18%
0.6 – 1.0%
$8,360 Vol.
43%
1.1 – 1.5%
$13,320 Vol.
22%
1.6 – 2.0%
$6,446 Vol.
8%
2.0-2.4%
$7,860 Vol.
6%
2.5%+
$3,344 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s 2026 annual CPI inflation is trading with the 0.6–1.0% range as the clear leader because recent monthly prints have remained subdued. July data showed headline inflation falling to 0.5% year-on-year—the lowest since January—driven by declining food prices and slower non-food gains amid weak domestic demand and a prolonged property-sector slump. Earlier 2026 readings hovered between 1.0% and 1.3%, with producer-price pressures easing in July after earlier spikes tied to commodity costs. Traders appear to view persistent consumption softness and limited policy stimulus impact as likely to keep full-year average inflation near the lower end of the historical range unless stronger fiscal or credit measures lift demand before year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Market Opened: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volume
$71,804End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s 2026 annual CPI inflation is trading with the 0.6–1.0% range as the clear leader because recent monthly prints have remained subdued. July data showed headline inflation falling to 0.5% year-on-year—the lowest since January—driven by declining food prices and slower non-food gains amid weak domestic demand and a prolonged property-sector slump. Earlier 2026 readings hovered between 1.0% and 1.3%, with producer-price pressures easing in July after earlier spikes tied to commodity costs. Traders appear to view persistent consumption softness and limited policy stimulus impact as likely to keep full-year average inflation near the lower end of the historical range unless stronger fiscal or credit measures lift demand before year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$71,804End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...China’s 2026 annual CPI inflation is trading with the 0.6–1.0% range as the clear leader because recent monthly prints have remained subdued. July data showed headline inflation falling to 0.5% year-on-year—the lowest since January—driven by declining food prices and slower non-food gains amid weak domestic demand and a prolonged property-sector slump. Earlier 2026 readings hovered between 1.0% and 1.3%, with producer-price pressures easing in July after earlier spikes tied to commodity costs. Traders appear to view persistent consumption softness and limited policy stimulus impact as likely to keep full-year average inflation near the lower end of the historical range unless stronger fiscal or credit measures lift demand before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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