Recent July 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 55.6, exceeding consensus estimates of 54.0 and marking the strongest expansion since May 2022, anchors trader sentiment for the August reading. Broad-based gains in production (58.5), new orders (56.7), and employment (52.8, first expansion in 33 months) reflect sustained demand, AI-driven capital spending, and low customer inventories that encourage restocking. Persistent cost pressures, with the prices index at 71.1 amid tariff and geopolitical effects, alongside elevated backlogs and supplier delays, introduce uncertainty over whether momentum moderates toward the mid-50s range favored by current market-implied odds. The September 1 release will test if July’s strength extends or signals a peak in the seven-month expansion streak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated55.0–55.9 20%
54.0–54.9 19%
56.0–56.9 17%
52.0–52.9 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
<51.0
4%
51.0–51.9
4%
52.0–52.9
13%
53.0–53.9
12%
54.0–54.9
19%
55.0–55.9
20%
56.0–56.9
17%
57.0–57.9
13%
58.0–58.9
12%
59.0+
4%
55.0–55.9 20%
54.0–54.9 19%
56.0–56.9 17%
52.0–52.9 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
<51.0
$153 Vol.
4%
51.0–51.9
$148 Vol.
4%
52.0–52.9
$65 Vol.
13%
53.0–53.9
$102 Vol.
12%
54.0–54.9
$106 Vol.
19%
55.0–55.9
$215 Vol.
20%
56.0–56.9
$100 Vol.
17%
57.0–57.9
$104 Vol.
13%
58.0–58.9
$79 Vol.
12%
59.0+
$65 Vol.
4%
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 55.6, exceeding consensus estimates of 54.0 and marking the strongest expansion since May 2022, anchors trader sentiment for the August reading. Broad-based gains in production (58.5), new orders (56.7), and employment (52.8, first expansion in 33 months) reflect sustained demand, AI-driven capital spending, and low customer inventories that encourage restocking. Persistent cost pressures, with the prices index at 71.1 amid tariff and geopolitical effects, alongside elevated backlogs and supplier delays, introduce uncertainty over whether momentum moderates toward the mid-50s range favored by current market-implied odds. The September 1 release will test if July’s strength extends or signals a peak in the seven-month expansion streak.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Volume
$1,138End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 55.6, exceeding consensus estimates of 54.0 and marking the strongest expansion since May 2022, anchors trader sentiment for the August reading. Broad-based gains in production (58.5), new orders (56.7), and employment (52.8, first expansion in 33 months) reflect sustained demand, AI-driven capital spending, and low customer inventories that encourage restocking. Persistent cost pressures, with the prices index at 71.1 amid tariff and geopolitical effects, alongside elevated backlogs and supplier delays, introduce uncertainty over whether momentum moderates toward the mid-50s range favored by current market-implied odds. The September 1 release will test if July’s strength extends or signals a peak in the seven-month expansion streak.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$1,138End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 55.6, exceeding consensus estimates of 54.0 and marking the strongest expansion since May 2022, anchors trader sentiment for the August reading. Broad-based gains in production (58.5), new orders (56.7), and employment (52.8, first expansion in 33 months) reflect sustained demand, AI-driven capital spending, and low customer inventories that encourage restocking. Persistent cost pressures, with the prices index at 71.1 amid tariff and geopolitical effects, alongside elevated backlogs and supplier delays, introduce uncertainty over whether momentum moderates toward the mid-50s range favored by current market-implied odds. The September 1 release will test if July’s strength extends or signals a peak in the seven-month expansion streak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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