Recent June JOLTS data, released August 4 at 7.359 million job openings (below the 7.44 million consensus and down 178,000 from May’s 7.594 million), highlights moderating labor demand and sets the baseline for July expectations. This cooling follows a May surge that exceeded forecasts, reflecting volatility in vacancy trends amid mixed ADP private payroll prints and broader employment indicators. With the July report due September 1, market-implied odds remain dispersed across the 7.1–7.7 million range, underscoring uncertainty over whether seasonal factors, sector weakness in healthcare and hospitality, or stabilizing hiring will dominate. Traders price in probabilities rather than point estimates, balancing the risk of further softening against potential rebounds seen in prior months.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated7.3M-7.4M 20%
7.2M-7.3M 16%
7.4M-7.5M 13%
7.6M-7.7M 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
<7.1M
13%
7.1M-7.2M
13%
7.2M-7.3M
16%
7.3M-7.4M
20%
7.4M-7.5M
13%
7.5M-7.6M
12%
7.6M-7.7M
13%
7.7M+
13%
7.3M-7.4M 20%
7.2M-7.3M 16%
7.4M-7.5M 13%
7.6M-7.7M 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
<7.1M
$101 Vol.
13%
7.1M-7.2M
$50 Vol.
13%
7.2M-7.3M
$200 Vol.
16%
7.3M-7.4M
$75 Vol.
20%
7.4M-7.5M
$50 Vol.
13%
7.5M-7.6M
$78 Vol.
12%
7.6M-7.7M
$93 Vol.
13%
7.7M+
$92 Vol.
13%
This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in July 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June JOLTS data, released August 4 at 7.359 million job openings (below the 7.44 million consensus and down 178,000 from May’s 7.594 million), highlights moderating labor demand and sets the baseline for July expectations. This cooling follows a May surge that exceeded forecasts, reflecting volatility in vacancy trends amid mixed ADP private payroll prints and broader employment indicators. With the July report due September 1, market-implied odds remain dispersed across the 7.1–7.7 million range, underscoring uncertainty over whether seasonal factors, sector weakness in healthcare and hospitality, or stabilizing hiring will dominate. Traders price in probabilities rather than point estimates, balancing the risk of further softening against potential rebounds seen in prior months.
This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in July 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Volume
$740End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in July 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June JOLTS data, released August 4 at 7.359 million job openings (below the 7.44 million consensus and down 178,000 from May’s 7.594 million), highlights moderating labor demand and sets the baseline for July expectations. This cooling follows a May surge that exceeded forecasts, reflecting volatility in vacancy trends amid mixed ADP private payroll prints and broader employment indicators. With the July report due September 1, market-implied odds remain dispersed across the 7.1–7.7 million range, underscoring uncertainty over whether seasonal factors, sector weakness in healthcare and hospitality, or stabilizing hiring will dominate. Traders price in probabilities rather than point estimates, balancing the risk of further softening against potential rebounds seen in prior months.
This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in July 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$740End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June JOLTS data, released August 4 at 7.359 million job openings (below the 7.44 million consensus and down 178,000 from May’s 7.594 million), highlights moderating labor demand and sets the baseline for July expectations. This cooling follows a May surge that exceeded forecasts, reflecting volatility in vacancy trends amid mixed ADP private payroll prints and broader employment indicators. With the July report due September 1, market-implied odds remain dispersed across the 7.1–7.7 million range, underscoring uncertainty over whether seasonal factors, sector weakness in healthcare and hospitality, or stabilizing hiring will dominate. Traders price in probabilities rather than point estimates, balancing the risk of further softening against potential rebounds seen in prior months.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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