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Jobs predictions & odds

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April Unemployment Rate

April Unemployment Rate

33%

4.3%

$25.1K Vol.

$27.6K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

How many jobs added in April?

How many jobs added in April?

32%

100k – 150k

$8.4K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

52%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$14.1K Liq.

112

Ends in 2 months

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

42%

5.0%

$369K Vol.

$32.9K Liq.

13

Ends in 8 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

21%

December 31, 2026

$463K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

32

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

97%

Up

$9.0K Vol.

$607 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

5%

May 4

$85.9K Vol.

$85.2K Liq.

10

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

71%

↓ 0.0014

$105K Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

96%

Silver

$34.7K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

98%

>$600M

$20M Vol.

$577K today

$1M Liq.

286

Ends in 2 months

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

55%

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)

$142 Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

What will Trump post this week? (April 27 - May 3)

What will Trump post this week? (April 27 - May 3)

85%

Blockade

$1.0K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in April 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in April 2026?

26%

↑ $280

$29.3K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in May 2026?

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in May 2026?

87%

↓ $375

$25 Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Major US official out by April 30?

Major US official out by April 30?

26%

$13.1K Vol.

$14.1K Liq.

9

Ends in 3 days

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

74%

↓ $4,700

$0 Vol.

$457 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on April 27?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on April 27?

99%

$685

$5.8K Vol.

$38.0K Liq.

Ends in about 11 hours

Zelenskyy # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

35%

60-79

$3.5K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Zelenskyy # posts April 21 - April 28, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 21 - April 28, 2026?

82%

80-99

$12.8K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

What will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit in May 2026?

What will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit in May 2026?

51%

↑ $6.00

$36 Vol.

$122 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Jobs.

Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Jobs that lets you track or trade on predictions like “April Unemployment Rate”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $23.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? ,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to >$600M. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Jobs predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.