The Illinois 2nd congressional district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the 93.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Robin Kelly’s decision to pursue a Senate bid created an open seat, but Donna Miller’s March 2026 primary victory over a crowded field, including Jesse Jackson Jr., has consolidated support ahead of the November general election against Republican Mike Noack. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s southeast Chicago and south suburban voter base. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national Republican surge altering turnout dynamics, though no such developments have materialized since the primary.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডIL-02 House Election Winner
IL-02 House Election Winner
$32,235 Vol.
$32,235 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$32,235 Vol.
$32,235 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,728 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$18,507 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 2nd congressional district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the 93.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Robin Kelly’s decision to pursue a Senate bid created an open seat, but Donna Miller’s March 2026 primary victory over a crowded field, including Jesse Jackson Jr., has consolidated support ahead of the November general election against Republican Mike Noack. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s southeast Chicago and south suburban voter base. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national Republican surge altering turnout dynamics, though no such developments have materialized since the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ভলিউম
$32,235শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 2nd congressional district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the 93.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Robin Kelly’s decision to pursue a Senate bid created an open seat, but Donna Miller’s March 2026 primary victory over a crowded field, including Jesse Jackson Jr., has consolidated support ahead of the November general election against Republican Mike Noack. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s southeast Chicago and south suburban voter base. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national Republican surge altering turnout dynamics, though no such developments have materialized since the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$32,235শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 2nd congressional district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the 93.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Robin Kelly’s decision to pursue a Senate bid created an open seat, but Donna Miller’s March 2026 primary victory over a crowded field, including Jesse Jackson Jr., has consolidated support ahead of the November general election against Republican Mike Noack. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s southeast Chicago and south suburban voter base. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national Republican surge altering turnout dynamics, though no such developments have materialized since the primary.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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