Democratic incumbent Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding lead in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district heading into the 2026 midterms, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The district carries a modest D+2 partisan voter index, Goodlander won the seat outright in 2024, and recent polls show her ahead of likely Republican opponent Lily Tang Williams by double digits. Nonpartisan race raters have classified the contest as Likely Democratic. With primaries still months away on September 8 and the general election on November 3, the current positioning rests on incumbency advantages, fundraising, and the absence of major shifts in the political environment. A significant national Republican wave, late-campaign developments that erode Goodlander’s support, or an unexpectedly strong primary challenge on either side could narrow the gap, though such scenarios would require substantial movement from present conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$725 거래량
92%
Republican Party
$4,023 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding lead in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district heading into the 2026 midterms, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The district carries a modest D+2 partisan voter index, Goodlander won the seat outright in 2024, and recent polls show her ahead of likely Republican opponent Lily Tang Williams by double digits. Nonpartisan race raters have classified the contest as Likely Democratic. With primaries still months away on September 8 and the general election on November 3, the current positioning rests on incumbency advantages, fundraising, and the absence of major shifts in the political environment. A significant national Republican wave, late-campaign developments that erode Goodlander’s support, or an unexpectedly strong primary challenge on either side could narrow the gap, though such scenarios would require substantial movement from present conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
거래량
$4,748종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding lead in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district heading into the 2026 midterms, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The district carries a modest D+2 partisan voter index, Goodlander won the seat outright in 2024, and recent polls show her ahead of likely Republican opponent Lily Tang Williams by double digits. Nonpartisan race raters have classified the contest as Likely Democratic. With primaries still months away on September 8 and the general election on November 3, the current positioning rests on incumbency advantages, fundraising, and the absence of major shifts in the political environment. A significant national Republican wave, late-campaign developments that erode Goodlander’s support, or an unexpectedly strong primary challenge on either side could narrow the gap, though such scenarios would require substantial movement from present conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$4,748종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding lead in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district heading into the 2026 midterms, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The district carries a modest D+2 partisan voter index, Goodlander won the seat outright in 2024, and recent polls show her ahead of likely Republican opponent Lily Tang Williams by double digits. Nonpartisan race raters have classified the contest as Likely Democratic. With primaries still months away on September 8 and the general election on November 3, the current positioning rests on incumbency advantages, fundraising, and the absence of major shifts in the political environment. A significant national Republican wave, late-campaign developments that erode Goodlander’s support, or an unexpectedly strong primary challenge on either side could narrow the gap, though such scenarios would require substantial movement from present conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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