Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding position in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the September 8 primary and November general election. Recent polling from Saint Anselm College and the University of New Hampshire shows her dominating the Democratic primary and leading potential Republican opponents by wide margins in general election matchups. The district’s voting patterns, combined with Goodlander’s incumbency advantage and fundraising edge, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% Democratic implied probability. Republicans face a fragmented primary field including Lily Tang Williams and Victor Orlando, with limited evidence of a unifying candidate or national tailwinds sufficient to overcome the structural lean. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national partisan shift, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have materialized in recent months.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNH-02 House Election Winner
NH-02 House Election Winner
$16,343 Vol.
$16,343 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
$16,343 Vol.
$16,343 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,706 Vol.
92%
Republican Party
$8,637 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding position in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the September 8 primary and November general election. Recent polling from Saint Anselm College and the University of New Hampshire shows her dominating the Democratic primary and leading potential Republican opponents by wide margins in general election matchups. The district’s voting patterns, combined with Goodlander’s incumbency advantage and fundraising edge, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% Democratic implied probability. Republicans face a fragmented primary field including Lily Tang Williams and Victor Orlando, with limited evidence of a unifying candidate or national tailwinds sufficient to overcome the structural lean. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national partisan shift, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$16,343End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding position in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the September 8 primary and November general election. Recent polling from Saint Anselm College and the University of New Hampshire shows her dominating the Democratic primary and leading potential Republican opponents by wide margins in general election matchups. The district’s voting patterns, combined with Goodlander’s incumbency advantage and fundraising edge, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% Democratic implied probability. Republicans face a fragmented primary field including Lily Tang Williams and Victor Orlando, with limited evidence of a unifying candidate or national tailwinds sufficient to overcome the structural lean. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national partisan shift, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,343End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding position in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the September 8 primary and November general election. Recent polling from Saint Anselm College and the University of New Hampshire shows her dominating the Democratic primary and leading potential Republican opponents by wide margins in general election matchups. The district’s voting patterns, combined with Goodlander’s incumbency advantage and fundraising edge, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% Democratic implied probability. Republicans face a fragmented primary field including Lily Tang Williams and Victor Orlando, with limited evidence of a unifying candidate or national tailwinds sufficient to overcome the structural lean. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national partisan shift, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have materialized in recent months.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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