Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions have elevated global oil prices, pushing Canada's headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in April 2026 and prompting the Bank of Canada to revise its 2026 inflation projection upward by roughly 0.3 percentage points in the April Monetary Policy Report. This supply-driven energy shock explains the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around the 1.5–1.9% and 3.5–3.9% buckets, as traders weigh whether higher gasoline and transportation costs will remain transitory or filter into core measures. Subdued GDP growth, anchored long-term expectations near the 2% target, and recent declines in CPI-trim and CPI-median to about 2% support the market-implied preference for lower outcomes. The next CPI release on June 22 and BoC communications will likely clarify the persistence of these pressures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоГодовая инфляция в Канаде в 2026 году
Годовая инфляция в Канаде в 2026 году
2,5–2,9% 46.9%
3,5-3,9% 33.9%
2,0–2,4% 20.0%
1,0–1,4% 6.2%
$16,471 Объем
$16,471 Объем
18 янв. 2027 г.
<1,0%
33%
1,0–1,4%
6%
1,5–1,9%
42%
2,0–2,4%
20%
2,5–2,9%
32%
3,0–3,4%
32%
3,5-3,9%
34%
4,0%+
1%
2,5–2,9% 46.9%
3,5-3,9% 33.9%
2,0–2,4% 20.0%
1,0–1,4% 6.2%
$16,471 Объем
$16,471 Объем
18 янв. 2027 г.
<1,0%
$339 Объем
33%
1,0–1,4%
$360 Объем
6%
1,5–1,9%
$656 Объем
42%
2,0–2,4%
$468 Объем
20%
2,5–2,9%
$502 Объем
32%
3,0–3,4%
$13,465 Объем
32%
3,5-3,9%
$287 Объем
34%
4,0%+
$395 Объем
1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions have elevated global oil prices, pushing Canada's headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in April 2026 and prompting the Bank of Canada to revise its 2026 inflation projection upward by roughly 0.3 percentage points in the April Monetary Policy Report. This supply-driven energy shock explains the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around the 1.5–1.9% and 3.5–3.9% buckets, as traders weigh whether higher gasoline and transportation costs will remain transitory or filter into core measures. Subdued GDP growth, anchored long-term expectations near the 2% target, and recent declines in CPI-trim and CPI-median to about 2% support the market-implied preference for lower outcomes. The next CPI release on June 22 and BoC communications will likely clarify the persistence of these pressures.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Объем
$16,471Дата окончания
18 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions have elevated global oil prices, pushing Canada's headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in April 2026 and prompting the Bank of Canada to revise its 2026 inflation projection upward by roughly 0.3 percentage points in the April Monetary Policy Report. This supply-driven energy shock explains the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around the 1.5–1.9% and 3.5–3.9% buckets, as traders weigh whether higher gasoline and transportation costs will remain transitory or filter into core measures. Subdued GDP growth, anchored long-term expectations near the 2% target, and recent declines in CPI-trim and CPI-median to about 2% support the market-implied preference for lower outcomes. The next CPI release on June 22 and BoC communications will likely clarify the persistence of these pressures.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Объем
$16,471Дата окончания
18 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions have elevated global oil prices, pushing Canada's headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in April 2026 and prompting the Bank of Canada to revise its 2026 inflation projection upward by roughly 0.3 percentage points in the April Monetary Policy Report. This supply-driven energy shock explains the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around the 1.5–1.9% and 3.5–3.9% buckets, as traders weigh whether higher gasoline and transportation costs will remain transitory or filter into core measures. Subdued GDP growth, anchored long-term expectations near the 2% target, and recent declines in CPI-trim and CPI-median to about 2% support the market-implied preference for lower outcomes. The next CPI release on June 22 and BoC communications will likely clarify the persistence of these pressures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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