Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven recent Canadian CPI prints higher, with the annual rate accelerating to 2.8% in April 2026 from 2.4% in March, primarily on elevated gasoline prices, prompting the Bank of Canada to revise its 2026 inflation projection upward by 0.3 percentage points in the April Monetary Policy Report. Trader sentiment on the annual 2026 inflation outcome remains closely balanced across the 2.5–2.9%, 3.0–3.4%, and 3.5–3.9% ranges, reflecting uncertainty over whether the energy-driven spike proves transitory or persists amid ongoing supply risks and soft domestic demand that continues to anchor core measures near 2.2–2.3%. The Bank of Canada’s policy rate at 2.25% and its willingness to look through temporary shocks further shape the competitive pricing across these bins ahead of additional data releases.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCanada Annual Inflation 2026
2.5–2.9% 46.9%
3.5-3.9% 33.4%
2.0–2.4% 20.0%
1.0–1.4% 5.8%
$16,460 Обс.
$16,460 Обс.
<1.0%
1%
1.0–1.4%
6%
1.5–1.9%
31%
2.0–2.4%
20%
2.5–2.9%
35%
3.0-3.4%
33%
3.5-3.9%
33%
4.0%+
1%
2.5–2.9% 46.9%
3.5-3.9% 33.4%
2.0–2.4% 20.0%
1.0–1.4% 5.8%
$16,460 Обс.
$16,460 Обс.
<1.0%
1%
1.0–1.4%
6%
1.5–1.9%
31%
2.0–2.4%
20%
2.5–2.9%
35%
3.0-3.4%
33%
3.5-3.9%
33%
4.0%+
1%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Ринок відкрито: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven recent Canadian CPI prints higher, with the annual rate accelerating to 2.8% in April 2026 from 2.4% in March, primarily on elevated gasoline prices, prompting the Bank of Canada to revise its 2026 inflation projection upward by 0.3 percentage points in the April Monetary Policy Report. Trader sentiment on the annual 2026 inflation outcome remains closely balanced across the 2.5–2.9%, 3.0–3.4%, and 3.5–3.9% ranges, reflecting uncertainty over whether the energy-driven spike proves transitory or persists amid ongoing supply risks and soft domestic demand that continues to anchor core measures near 2.2–2.3%. The Bank of Canada’s policy rate at 2.25% and its willingness to look through temporary shocks further shape the competitive pricing across these bins ahead of additional data releases.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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