Recent energy price surges from the Middle East conflict have lifted Canada’s headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in April 2026 from 2.4% in March, prompting the Bank of Canada’s April Monetary Policy Report to revise its 2026 inflation projection up to roughly 2.3%. This upward revision, combined with ongoing US tariff uncertainty and sub-trend growth, has created a wide dispersion in trader-implied probabilities across the 1.5–3.9% buckets. Core measures remain near 2.1%, suggesting underlying disinflationary pressures could still pull the annual average lower, while persistent gasoline effects and potential policy-rate holds at the neutral 2.25% level keep upside risks alive. The next CPI release on June 22 and upcoming BoC communications will likely clarify whether the energy shock proves transitory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2.5–2.9% 46.9%
3.5-3.9% 33.8%
2.0–2.4% 20.0%
1.0–1.4% 5.9%
$16,471 交易量
$16,471 交易量
2027-01-18
低于1.0%
33%
1.0–1.4%
6%
1.5–1.9%
40%
2.0–2.4%
20%
2.5–2.9%
34%
3.0-3.4%
32%
3.5-3.9%
34%
4.0%及以上
1%
2.5–2.9% 46.9%
3.5-3.9% 33.8%
2.0–2.4% 20.0%
1.0–1.4% 5.9%
$16,471 交易量
$16,471 交易量
2027-01-18
低于1.0%
$339 交易量
33%
1.0–1.4%
$360 交易量
6%
1.5–1.9%
$656 交易量
40%
2.0–2.4%
$468 交易量
20%
2.5–2.9%
$502 交易量
34%
3.0-3.4%
$13,465 交易量
32%
3.5-3.9%
$287 交易量
34%
4.0%及以上
$395 交易量
1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent energy price surges from the Middle East conflict have lifted Canada’s headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in April 2026 from 2.4% in March, prompting the Bank of Canada’s April Monetary Policy Report to revise its 2026 inflation projection up to roughly 2.3%. This upward revision, combined with ongoing US tariff uncertainty and sub-trend growth, has created a wide dispersion in trader-implied probabilities across the 1.5–3.9% buckets. Core measures remain near 2.1%, suggesting underlying disinflationary pressures could still pull the annual average lower, while persistent gasoline effects and potential policy-rate holds at the neutral 2.25% level keep upside risks alive. The next CPI release on June 22 and upcoming BoC communications will likely clarify whether the energy shock proves transitory.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
市场开放时间： Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
交易量
$16,471结束日期
2027-01-18市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent energy price surges from the Middle East conflict have lifted Canada’s headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in April 2026 from 2.4% in March, prompting the Bank of Canada’s April Monetary Policy Report to revise its 2026 inflation projection up to roughly 2.3%. This upward revision, combined with ongoing US tariff uncertainty and sub-trend growth, has created a wide dispersion in trader-implied probabilities across the 1.5–3.9% buckets. Core measures remain near 2.1%, suggesting underlying disinflationary pressures could still pull the annual average lower, while persistent gasoline effects and potential policy-rate holds at the neutral 2.25% level keep upside risks alive. The next CPI release on June 22 and upcoming BoC communications will likely clarify whether the energy shock proves transitory.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
交易量
$16,471结束日期
2027-01-18市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent energy price surges from the Middle East conflict have lifted Canada’s headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in April 2026 from 2.4% in March, prompting the Bank of Canada’s April Monetary Policy Report to revise its 2026 inflation projection up to roughly 2.3%. This upward revision, combined with ongoing US tariff uncertainty and sub-trend growth, has created a wide dispersion in trader-implied probabilities across the 1.5–3.9% buckets. Core measures remain near 2.1%, suggesting underlying disinflationary pressures could still pull the annual average lower, while persistent gasoline effects and potential policy-rate holds at the neutral 2.25% level keep upside risks alive. The next CPI release on June 22 and upcoming BoC communications will likely clarify whether the energy shock proves transitory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题