Recent Mexico inflation data, with the May 2026 headline rate easing to 3.94% year-over-year from 4.45% in April and returning inside Banxico’s 2-4% target band, anchors trader positioning in the Mexico Annual Inflation 2026 market. This disinflation, aided by energy subsidies and softer core goods prices, supports the narrow lead for the 4.00-4.49% outcome at 37.5% implied probability, closely contested by the 2.50-2.99% bin at 35.9%. Key swing factors include Banxico’s ongoing easing cycle (policy rate at 6.50% after the May cut), Q1 economic contraction creating slack, and mixed 2026 forecasts ranging from 3.9% (IMF, BBVA) to 4.37% (economist surveys). Geopolitical pressures on energy and any rebound in services inflation could shift the balance before year-end resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour4,00 % à 4,49 % 37%
5,50 %+ 30%
4,50 % à 4,99 % 18%
3,50 % à 3,99 % 17.9%
$42,227 Vol.
$42,227 Vol.
8 janv. 2027
<2,50 %
5%
2,50 % à 2,99 %
27%
3,00 % à 3,49 %
1%
3,50 % à 3,99 %
18%
4,00 % à 4,49 %
37%
4,50 % à 4,99 %
18%
5,00 % à 5,49 %
10%
5,50 %+
30%
4,00 % à 4,49 % 37%
5,50 %+ 30%
4,50 % à 4,99 % 18%
3,50 % à 3,99 % 17.9%
$42,227 Vol.
$42,227 Vol.
8 janv. 2027
<2,50 %
$576 Vol.
5%
2,50 % à 2,99 %
$4,369 Vol.
27%
3,00 % à 3,49 %
$26,029 Vol.
1%
3,50 % à 3,99 %
$458 Vol.
18%
4,00 % à 4,49 %
$573 Vol.
37%
4,50 % à 4,99 %
$3,668 Vol.
18%
5,00 % à 5,49 %
$1,456 Vol.
10%
5,50 %+
$5,099 Vol.
30%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent Mexico inflation data, with the May 2026 headline rate easing to 3.94% year-over-year from 4.45% in April and returning inside Banxico’s 2-4% target band, anchors trader positioning in the Mexico Annual Inflation 2026 market. This disinflation, aided by energy subsidies and softer core goods prices, supports the narrow lead for the 4.00-4.49% outcome at 37.5% implied probability, closely contested by the 2.50-2.99% bin at 35.9%. Key swing factors include Banxico’s ongoing easing cycle (policy rate at 6.50% after the May cut), Q1 economic contraction creating slack, and mixed 2026 forecasts ranging from 3.9% (IMF, BBVA) to 4.37% (economist surveys). Geopolitical pressures on energy and any rebound in services inflation could shift the balance before year-end resolution.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Marché ouvert : Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Volume
$42,227Date de fin
8 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent Mexico inflation data, with the May 2026 headline rate easing to 3.94% year-over-year from 4.45% in April and returning inside Banxico’s 2-4% target band, anchors trader positioning in the Mexico Annual Inflation 2026 market. This disinflation, aided by energy subsidies and softer core goods prices, supports the narrow lead for the 4.00-4.49% outcome at 37.5% implied probability, closely contested by the 2.50-2.99% bin at 35.9%. Key swing factors include Banxico’s ongoing easing cycle (policy rate at 6.50% after the May cut), Q1 economic contraction creating slack, and mixed 2026 forecasts ranging from 3.9% (IMF, BBVA) to 4.37% (economist surveys). Geopolitical pressures on energy and any rebound in services inflation could shift the balance before year-end resolution.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Volume
$42,227Date de fin
8 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Mexico inflation data, with the May 2026 headline rate easing to 3.94% year-over-year from 4.45% in April and returning inside Banxico’s 2-4% target band, anchors trader positioning in the Mexico Annual Inflation 2026 market. This disinflation, aided by energy subsidies and softer core goods prices, supports the narrow lead for the 4.00-4.49% outcome at 37.5% implied probability, closely contested by the 2.50-2.99% bin at 35.9%. Key swing factors include Banxico’s ongoing easing cycle (policy rate at 6.50% after the May cut), Q1 economic contraction creating slack, and mixed 2026 forecasts ranging from 3.9% (IMF, BBVA) to 4.37% (economist surveys). Geopolitical pressures on energy and any rebound in services inflation could shift the balance before year-end resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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